this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2025
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Bulletins and News Discussion from January 20th to January 26th, 2025 - Viva La Resistance
(hexbear.net)
After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.
With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.
The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.
Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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I honestly think there won't be any significant uprising in the USA. Trump and MAGA policies are significantly more popular than they were during his first term. Recent Ipsos polling has shown that 66% of US citizens support the deportation of illegal immigrants. However moves like using the US military to deport migrants are significantly less popular. What Trump is going to do now, is to use his newfound popularity to enact legislation that is popular in the US/easy wins, like deporting immigrants convicted of violent crimes, ceasefire deals in armed conflicts, to buy the political and social capital necessary to conduct his more unpopular reforms, like tarrifs or mass deportations. By the time starts doing the stuff that is unpopular, it'll be too late.
Polling on illegal immigration is all over the place, moreso than other polling it is highly dependent on how the questions are phrased. Just using “illegal” versus “undocumented” yields significantly different results. You can have a large number of Americans say it’s a problem at the same time a large number will say there should be a pathway to citizenship. Basically Americans don’t know what to think about it but it’s not a slam dunk “immigration bad” opinion.
You can see how it gets broken down on the two Ipsos polls [they are PDF format files] here. But it's unquestionable that a vast majority of US citizens support the deportation of illegal immigrants with a criminal record (87%) and all illegal immigrants that arrived in the last 4 years (66%). In the second poll that was done a week later, that 66% number then applied to all illegal immigrants, a significant trend upwards from 56% on the first poll. No amount of changing the wording is going to change that, and as we got closer to Trump taking power, support for his policies just went up. Americans want to back a winner quite clearly. The first poll also shows the dissonance between Trump the man and his policies. Many Americans still don't really like Trump as a person, but they support a significant amount of what he wants to do.
Democrats also lost quite heavily on the two transgender related issues that were debated quite a lot in this election cycle, on the issue of transgender women in sports (79% oppose) and the use of puberty blockers in transgender children under 18 years of age (71% oppose). Linking LGBT, and in particular transgender activism, to the Democrat-NGO complex has been an abject failure. This is something many on hexbear, including many of our transgender users based in the USA, have been ringing the alarm bell on for years. It is very unfortunate that they were right...
First poll
Second poll
Is he really that popular? I thought it was just among those who voted, that's wild.
It took four years to reach nationwide riots last time, I don't think it's around the corner, but I think 2 years from now is imaginable.
Isn't it also much more about wether he radicalises his opposition rather than the size of said opposition?
I wouldn't say Trump the man is hugely more popular, but his policies are. Again, according to Ipsos polling, Trump/Republicans were ahead of Harris/Democrats on almost every key issue except abortion.
The opposition is heavily linked to the Democrat-NGO complex, who are never going to resist in meaningful ways, and are in a state of mass defeat. The size of the radical opposition outside of this is insignificant.
Oh okay, so it is just the voters then? That makes it make more sense to me. Yeah the democrats are collapsing.