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I worry how this will effect the genocide in Gaza.
If Syria falls it will complicate providing support to Hezbollah, since the land connection to Lebanon will be severed. Also last time the rebels invaded Lebanon, will they do so again? Hezbollah has so far pinned Israeli forces in the north.
I think they might honestly be going for fulfilling greater "israel" and trying to cut off Hezbollah and also use these forces perhaps to attack them from another side, grind them down and just basically win. Then they can finish the genocide whenever they want while Iran is isolated in their own little corner, cut off from the belt and road, cut off from BRICS, unable to wield influence and at that point you have an isolated and besieged Iran and an isolated, starved and besieged Yemen both separated by multiple countries and distance and unable to help each other meaningfully. Of course Iraq complicates things a little but I suppose they might plan to do something there eventually and even with a theoretical Iraq in Iran's corner and a theoretical situation where the US actually finally leaves (seems even less likely now) the situation, the chessboard is bad for BRICS, Iran, and multi-polarity. Much worse than it was before October 7th 23 and it was pretty bad then with all those Arab states cozying up to the zionist occupation through US brokering. At least then they still had an intact Hezbollah with leadership, supply routes, Assad, etc.
Just shows how quickly the board can change versus a determined, experienced opponent like the US.
The important thing to keep in mind for anyone discouraged from this event is that this does not change the prognosis for the US. The empire is decline, no doubt about it. We all knew that it would be violently lashing out and causing more destruction and instability on its way out. But the US and Global North neoliberal governments in general simply cannot resolve the internal contradictions they have created.
Are you refering to the dependency to immigrants who have no connection to Western European diaspora culturally or biologically, the rise of successful countries that are run by people of colors, and Donald Trump who is exposing the flaws of Pax Americana?
The U.S. has ridiculous plot armor.
Perhaps.
Hoping this doesn't weaken the axis of resistance.
I'm trying not to fall into doomerism, even though I'm pretty optimistic about the future.
Hoping this doesn’t weaken the axis of resistance.
This development is a consequence of a weakened axis of resistance. Iran and Hezbollah have both been weakened by Israeli strikes, and Russia had to divert attention to Ukraine. Those were three sources of Assad's support.
Same here
I'm usually pretty optimistic too.
Oh yeah it's bleak as fuck.
Yeah...