Oh yeah it's bleak as fuck.
darkcalling
joined 4 years ago
I felt this was going to happen yesterday with all that was going on. I didn't think it would happen this fast.
Guess no more Assad memes though as looks like in the end he was the one who had to go.
This shows how persistent the US can be though. People spent years joking about them failing to remove him and they just kept on plotting and doing their thing and sure enough Russia didn't want to expend their own treasury or people on fighting a war that is after all not along their borders or neighborhood. Because unlike the US they had no ambitions for strategic defeat.
However the US did. And the US will see this as a strategic defeat for Russia and press the advantage. These terrorists were assisted by, trained by and with Ukrainian fascist intelligence. They are going to turn Syria into a hub for training their pawns, for spreading extremism and destabilization across the region. As a way to blunt the belt and road, to cut it off from Africa. And these people will be taken further afield, they'll pop up in Africa to do US work against the AES Sahel states, they'll pop up in eastern Europe or Latin America or Asia and will be a continuing problem as they are hardened, experienced, trained fanatics and they are going to cause some trouble for all the multi-polar forces. Just as the US intended.
This is why the US should not be counted out until they're actually out. Everyone crowing about the US having egg on its face, taking an L in Ukraine and the whole world seeing the genocide in Palestine and then they just pull out this huge win. Turns out the material on the ground situation is what they've actually won while we've won some feel good points and some PR which does little.
I agree the zionists will annex part of Syria for greater "israel" do some war crimes and oppression there, try and drive people out. They and the western pawns in Syria could also turn their attention to Lebanon and punishing or ruining Hezbollah given the zionists already decapitated the leadership there.
It's like the 20th century. Things seemed to be going alright. Revolutions were popping off, there seemed to be a fervor with the original post-colonial movement for change and then in came the big bad USA with coups, color revolutions, dictators, extremist groups, etc, etc. They're playing the same playbook and I'm sorry to say I think outside of some of the core countries of BRICS+ such as China, Russia, DPRK, Vietnam most of their partners are fragile enough to be vulnerable to being destroyed by these kinds of overt tactics. When the dollar hegemony and economic coercion aren't enough alone it shows the US is not only willing but able to pull out the same kind of barbarity and intelligence-driven subterfuge to incapacitate and destroy enemies.
This is a major shift of the tides. If the west manages to pull off sending NATO troops into Ukraine and Putin blinks and accepts an armistice then I think they have the momentum again to stop or severely slow China, to stop or severely slow BRICS, to stop or severely slow the multi-polar world and buy themselves decades of life. Let us hope then Putin does not blink, that the west is inflicted in fact with a strategic loss in Ukraine. Though even that's not the end of the story. The west will as we've seen here try again for another color revolution in Ukraine in 5 years, 10 years. They will take their hardened Ukrainian Nazis and use them as their agents to destabilize key places, to kill people, to do all their dirty work they've somewhat backed off on since the end of history and their attempt to paint themselves as better than they ever were.
Even if Russia wins in Ukraine, they get all their objectives, the west is going to use Syria and those they evac from Ukraine to continue setting fires around Russia and also China, in Georgia, in Moldova, in some of the other central Asian republics perhaps.
And as we've seen the west profits immensely from the fact still no one wants to fuck with them. Iran doesn't, they're conserving their strength afraid they're next and perhaps simply not having the logistics to actually wield strength in Syria with the zionist regime there and the US and its regional pawns blocking them. Even Russia still acts this way, still thinks there is a way to be reasonable with these people. So who is there left? No USSR. Russia isn't that interventionist and even if they were they're bogged down in Ukraine and could be for years. China is out due to their stances. Iran feels pinned down. The US has retaken west Asia and with it probably destroyed China's hopes for a belt and road to Africa actually succeeding this decade.
This is in other words a very bad day for the Syrian people, for the Palestinian people, for the multi-polar order, for China, for Russia, for Iran.
Considering they're US proxy forces I wouldn't think fond at all. Most likely they'll serve as a radicalizing and training ground for people to start up shit in Xinjiang again.
Happy Birthday comrade!
CIA branch realizing hour is late and they’ll lose all credibility and ability to promote fake atrocities by (bad countries) in future to whip up outrage and support for imperialism finally admits what everyone else long knew far too late to have even a snowball’s chance of making an ounce of difference.
They're calling for doubling down on sea-born drone fleets. They think that's the future it seems and that lines up with high talk of filling the Taiwan straits with drones to deny Beijing. Perhaps they think they can get around the problems of spending human lives and blood in increasing unpopularity of imperialism by moving the work to disposable machines that won't create any backlash at home just jobs doing vidya game like killing of others.
They made a miscalculation with Russia. Russia itself was shocked how well it stood up to sanctions.
I think they know the implications very well. The calculus is simple: right now they have the high ground and most of the cards. They have hegemony, dollar dominance, control of SWIFT, the ability to sanction anyone anywhere and strike fear into huge chains of private actors like companies that they don’t touch anyone who touches anyone who’s on the shit list. They have cultural dominance and they have high technology dominance.
If they do nothing they lose all of that. The longer they wait the weaker they are and the stronger China is. The only reason they haven’t gone harder yet is China was smart to weave themselves into the western economic system. But that’s what these moves are for, to reduce their exposure and then end it. They do it piece by piece to reduce the shock and prevent any capital backlash. Salami-slicing.
You have to remember that during the Cold War the CIA managed to buy Soviet titanium for their military aircraft without the Soviets catching on while doing their damnedest to strangle the USSR with economic embargo.
The US has mature intelligence and sanctions apparatus with decades of experience and intel from a coterie of vassals and their various hacking and internet cable intercept efforts. China can’t uno reverse sanctions as effectively due to its position.
I think the US succeeds in its high tech decoupling though fails at suppression.
But if they can’t suppress them they’ll exclude them and bifurcate world supply chains, create bloc conditions like the first Cold War and work to foment unrest, extremism, counter-revolution, and balkanization in China, Russia, and other partner nations like Iran.
Another thing. China having to send goods to be finished in Vietnam or India is good for the US ability to impose sanctions on China while evading retaliation. As we’ve seen with Russia and in fact that Cold War titanium buying the US will launder its purchases with the help of companies in those countries to appear like they’re going elsewhere meaning China’s sanctions won’t have much bite without that whole mature intelligence apparatus to catch and stop evasion which is what the US has and can do.
Thing is the US knew this was coming. China telegraphed it very clearly with earlier restrictions. Clearly other than some cost increases it doesn’t bother the US or is seen as simply part of the cost of decoupling.
I don’t see any levers that aren’t the nuclear option in terms of self harm to China’s economy that they can pull to pump the brakes on the tech decoupling, sanctions, embargo, suppression thing the US has going.
At this rate the US will begin making it a crime for anyone with specialized technical knowledge to go to work in China because there’s increasingly little in terms of product they can sanction. Wouldn’t be shocked to see researchers in fields like AI who collaborate in any way with Chinese universities or companies facing increased harassment by feds.
Troops were seen at the parliament building. Apparently the latest is those who reached the building unanimously voted to lift the martial law and troops were seen leaving.
Just normal occupied Korea things.
It’s also about national security ie making sure US war equipments don’t have anything from China when the US starts a hot war.
I disagree. The US has no serious real fears of Chinese equipment. And if they did they wouldn't need to ban consumers from buying it, just the government itself. Already sensitive applications of technology require a security review and certain kinds of manufacturers.
Of course in such a scenario a thing with Chinese components will become quite difficult to maintain due to supply chain disruption or sabotage.
No reason for the US to care if Johnny's Huawei smartphone can't get parts. It's about suppression.
The only national security concern is the concern that Chinese products don't have western back-doors which impedes their ability to spy, insert malware, and do all that stuff the eyes nations love doing even to each other but especially those outside the group. That's a threat to their dragnet intelligence collection and cyber-warfare capabilities but not because the Chinese stuff has any issue.
And there’s also the threat model of supply chain attacks like the terrorist attack using pagers in Lebanon.
They don't really believe this. Sure a couple of racist congress-creatures might but national security organs know China isn't going to put bombs in their civilian home internet routers or their civilian drones or their civilian smartphones. Give me a break.
The US has long had procedures for procurement of secure devices for sensitive applications. The sanctions, the selling embargos, the fear-mongering, all of it has nothing to do with government use and military or national security functions.
I mean why reach for this? Why buy their weak rationale when people like Sullivan and others are on record saying they want to keep China technologically 10 years behind the US? That the US has to be 10 years ahead of them. When you know that and their stated needs and motives it's clear what's going on and it has nothing to do with Chinese products being back-doors.
Part of the continuing ramp up of the technology blockade and embargo on China. Done under Biden lest anyone doubt this is the chosen path of the entire US.
I once again re-iterate, the US is serious about decoupling from Chinese technology, from preventing the sales, spread, development of finished products and ensure that domain remains exclusively that of the anglo western imperialist order. They would like to entirely decouple from China to throw up a big wall on them and crush them with sanctions and propaganda but they can't in the near or medium-term so this is the solution. To suppress their development and movement up the value chain, to force them to remain a low value, low tech producer and grievously injure their economy in the process. All part of the plan for the new American century. All part of Pax Americana.
By doing it gradually and giving out money generously to companies they hope to force them to decouple, to deny China the latest technology such as chip-making and other things that they think give them a leg up but also to deny them a market in the west or ideally anywhere else to crush their development and ensure western profits and NSA backdoor spying via western technology can continue to enable their hegemony.
It is for this reason I'm not entirely ready to dismiss Trump's claimed planned of 100% tariffs on anyone who drops the dollar. While I doubt it would be implemented in quite that way, the west beyond Trump I believe has designs on the tall fenced in yard model. That is they want to create camps, they intend on pushing as many countries as possible into their camp using technology, dollar, media/cultural hegemony, and yes of course things like color revolutions, insurgencies, etc while punishing and making life in the other camp miserable and essentially bifurcating the world with the hope most of the world ends up within their fence for their exploitation and with time this allows them to crush the development of China, to reduce living conditions and to foment overthrow or fragmentation of China and Russia.
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I think they might honestly be going for fulfilling greater "israel" and trying to cut off Hezbollah and also use these forces perhaps to attack them from another side, grind them down and just basically win. Then they can finish the genocide whenever they want while Iran is isolated in their own little corner, cut off from the belt and road, cut off from BRICS, unable to wield influence and at that point you have an isolated and besieged Iran and an isolated, starved and besieged Yemen both separated by multiple countries and distance and unable to help each other meaningfully. Of course Iraq complicates things a little but I suppose they might plan to do something there eventually and even with a theoretical Iraq in Iran's corner and a theoretical situation where the US actually finally leaves (seems even less likely now) the situation, the chessboard is bad for BRICS, Iran, and multi-polarity. Much worse than it was before October 7th 23 and it was pretty bad then with all those Arab states cozying up to the zionist occupation through US brokering. At least then they still had an intact Hezbollah with leadership, supply routes, Assad, etc.
Just shows how quickly the board can change versus a determined, experienced opponent like the US.