As well as the fact that Elon Musk and Trump have said in no-uncertain terms that they helped fix the election in Pennsylvania as well as the fact that Trump has a history of trying to illegally alter the election results, I think assuming that he necessarily won the vote against Harris isn’t a good base assumption to make in the first place. And that’s not even including the early vote box that was found in the road and the fascist goons who attacked ballot boxes. Even if he didn’t commit election fraud, your points are still completely valid but I think we shouldn’t assume that he was genuinely voted for in the first place.

[–] ziproot@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago)

Yeah, I didn’t even touch Pennsylvania. If you ignore Pennsylvania (specifically PA-7 and PA-8 which are the most likely candidates for election shenanigans) and the one seat Republicans gained due to gerrymandering (technically three: NC-6, NC-13, NC-14, but Republicans actually had to remove gerrymandering leading to Democrat wins in LA-6 and AL-2), Democrats would have taken the House. This is why the Supreme Court ended up voting against Independent State Legislature, as it would have benefited the Democrats due to ending the independent redistricting committees in states like California.

EDIT: I honestly think Republicans thought the race would be closer than it was, so they messed with suburban Philadelphia specifically since Pennsylvania was key to their strategy. This is mostly due to polling errors in PA-7 and PA-8 that underestimated the Republican by eight points, along with comments by Musk and Trump.

Oh, and also this article. Yes it’s New York Post, bear with me here. https://nypost.com/2024/11/05/us-news/widespread-voting-problems-reported-in-2-heavily-republican-pennsylvania-counties/.

In Luzerne County, one of two eastern Pennsylvania counties where Republicans overtook Democrats in active voter registration earlier this year, poll workers failed to set up shop on time.

Polls were supposed to open at 7 a.m., but in Luzerne County, wokers (sic, lmao) at a precinct in Laflin Borough were unable to access a scanner due to an issue with the lock. By about 8:40 a.m., several machines were up and running.

They didn’t say this, but Laflin Borough is part of PA-8.