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Considering last night's results, I don't expect NATO to be credible 4 years from now
(sh.itjust.works)
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It is so easy to make war necessary from fear. Your rulers get richer the more fear there is, and the CIA is welcome to ensure the right rulers stay, in addition to the direct US military occupation that controls Germany.
There is zero possibility reality that Russia gains by occupying those countries. But like Ukraine, if fanatical hatred can be enhanced towards Russia, that can make a good CIA pawn sacrifice as your reward. The pure slavery, and the temptation to submit to harsher slavery as a plea for Trump to piss on you less is one path for those eastern colonies most consumed by hate.
I think you wildly overestimate how powerful the CIA actually is. They're barely can understand South American politics, much less control all of Europe.
Blaming the CIA is about as productive as McCarthy blaming communists in the 50s