I was actually wondering how the gender gap changed in this election, and it wasn't at all what I was expecting:
According to exit polls by CNN Trump gained +2% of the male vote, and +5% of the female vote compared to 2020 - though women were still more likely to support Harris, of course.
An analysis by the AP found similar results, with the support from men under 45 increasing +7%, and women under 45 +6%, while for older men it decreased -1%, and for older women stayed the same.
Surprisingly, Trump's support among racial minority groups increased while white and older Americans increased support for Harris.
After thorough analysis and much thought I have ultimately concluded that I have absolutely no fucking clue what is going on with American politics.
There's also the problem that if the polls are crap, the results of the model will also be crap, regardless of how accurate the model is. It's similar to how publication bias affects meta-analyses. Several analysts have already argued that pollsters are unlikely to underestimate Trump again, and may in fact over-correct and underestimate Harris much like how they underestimated dems in 2022:
- https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html#link-647a30f1
- https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-underestimate-polls-wrong-election-donald-trump-1979080
- https://nypost.com/2024/10/30/us-news/election-polling-could-be-underestimating-kamala-harris-democrats-in-key-states-cnn-data-reporter-warns/
Honestly I'm not surprised considering California politicians seem to have a knack for making money disappear into thin air with magic (corruption): https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/gavin-newsom-homeless-money-budget-b2544347.html
Started my psychology course this year and to be perfectly honest the more I hear about psychoanalysis the more it just sounds like a bunch of bullshit made up by some horny guy who was full of himself
Despite what the law might say, there's no evidence whatsoever that letting trans people use their preferred bathroom causes any "injury or harm" to cis people.
To the contrary, there is evidence that restricting bathroom access is harmful to trans people - and cis people too, like Jay, a cis woman who was harassed in a bathroom after being mistaken for a trans person.
Even if they use the "right" restroom trans people are in danger of being harassed all the same if they pass too well: https://www.advocate.com/news/2022/7/12/trans-man-brutally-assaulted-using-womens-restroom-campground
Damned if you do, and damned if you don't. The point of laws like this isn't to protect cis women and girls, it's just to cause as much suffering as possible, because that's all Republicans care about.
Trump has been sabotaging peace talks
This is pure horseshit.
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Trump, Netanyahu speak about Gaza hostage-ceasefire deal, Axios reports
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Trump says he told Netanyahu to end Gaza war but criticizes ceasefire call
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Trump signals support in call with Netanyahu: ‘Do what you have to do’
It’s the Palestinian American’s fault for not endorsing the genocide of their immediate friends and family.
Voting isn't a love letter, it's a chess move. Biden, Harris and other establishment liberals absolutely deserve to be relentlessly mocked and criticized (and frankly indicted) for cheerleading Israel's genocide, but aiding in the political victory of someone twice as genocidal as them, and who also intends to end democracy and target his political opponents would be a bad move.
Simply build a Paperwork Organiz-inator
I would like to propose some changes to that title:
Microsoft CEO's pay rises 63% to $79m, ~~despite~~ [because of] devastating year for layoffs: 2550 ~~jobs lost~~ [employees were fired by their greedy CEO] in 2024 [because he wanted more money]
Something tells me that Tim "the problem is everybody else" Pool might have a hard time finding a woman willing to put up with his narcissistic and toxic personality...
Conservatives have already said that they want to inspect children's genitals, so it's only a matter of time until they start saying that they want to regularly inspect women's genitals as well to "protect unborn children" (read: control women and fulfill their sick fetish)
Money is fake, scarcity is manufactured, capitalism is a scam
Unfortunately a lot of people have bought into the scam...