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The original was posted on /r/singularity by /u/CKR12345 on 2024-01-23 16:04:12+00:00.
Think of it, since GPT 4, we’ve heard from all the experts and even OpenAI themselves that we’re on this exponential curve and it’s hard to wrap our minds around how quickly the technology is advancing. With that in mind, if GPT 5 comes out this year, and is just GPT 4 with some tweaks and improvements, that would be… let’s say very bad for OpenAI and the sector of AI as a whole perhaps.
Obviously I don’t expect this to be the case, I think GPT 5 will be incredible, but it’s also worth contemplating something: Sam says AGI isn’t coming this year, if GPT 5 is exponentially better then 4, but still not AGI, what benchmarks is it not hitting, is it not AGI because OpenAI won’t let it be? Or is it not capable of being one?
At the end of the day we’re all speculating and I’m just a dude who thinks about this stuff from time to time and wanted to share my thoughts.