this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.


The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

South Korea's ruling party urges President Yoon to swiftly lift martial law following parliamentary vote. - Yonhap

Yonhap: President Yoon Seok-yeol held a cabinet meeting right before declaring martial law. Martial Law Force Vehicles Withdrew from National Assembly Parking Lot.

US State Department: "Hopefully Compliance Will Be Made" With South Korea's National Assembly's Resolution Requesting the Lifting of Martial Law. White House says it is 'seriously concerned' following South Korea's Presidential declaration of martial law.

Wtf? Is Elon musk running the White House account now?

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago

We are entering in another darker period in middle-east, only now without any soviet presence or pretenses of equality sadness-abysmal

Hope i'm the idiot and jubiliant people on twitter are the wise ones

[–] AtmosphericRiversCuomo@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

https://disinfowatch.org/disinfo/canadian-killed-sumy-false/

Interesting article claiming that this Canadian officer totally wasn't owned by a Russian FAB-1500 in Sumy. Instead it goes on to say he actually died of "medical complications" while stationed in Casteau, Belgium. It strangely doesn't specify what those complication were. Not sure what happened one way or the other, but I do suspect that a patient catching a glide bomb would in fact present with some complications.

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

No condemnation from the US.

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 55 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (10 children)

Satellite imagery has been made public showing that the Russian Air Force ~~and Navy~~ are evacuating their military bases in Syria, in ~~Tartus and~~ Latakia . It's completely over, we're in full Afghanistan territory now.

Wonder who or what is lucky enough to get lifted out on the Antonov AN-124 (the biggest plane in the second image).

They could also be reinforcing the airbase, but I find such a scenario highly unlikely.

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[–] miz@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

unless I'm missing something there were three casings and three live rounds recovered. so either the police are only telling us some of the words, words were repeated, or some of them had no words.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (21 children)

Arrest teams sent for the following South Korean politicians (Yonhap):

Lee Jae-myung - Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea

Han Dong-hoon -People Power Party leader (Yoon's Party)

Woo Won-sik -Democratic Party of Korea

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[–] queermunist@lemmy.ml 55 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

The Lebanon ceasefire is such a cruel joke. Israel keeps violating it and when the ceasefire inevitably collapses because Israel keeps killing people we all know Hezbollah will be blamed.

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[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Some Syria news for today.

A joint Russian-Syrian military operation rescued a group of Syrian army cadets and officers that Washington’s al-Queda proxies had surrounded at the Assad Military Engineering Academy near Aleppo: https://www.rt.com/news/608712-officers-rescued-jihadists-syria-russia/

The Syrian army repelled more Western-backed terrorist attacks on Hama and cleared the nearby town of Tuba: https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/12/04/738464/Syria-army-purges-terrorists-Hama-countryside

Allied forces eliminated another 300 terrorists and shot down another 25 drones today alone (around 2,000 total terrorists have been eliminated over the past week of fighting): https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/12/05/738505/Syria-2000-terrorists-killed-Russia-Takfiris

Surprise, surprise, surprise – the Western-backed terrorists have started killing each other yet again: https://thecradle.co/articles/old-feuds-reignite-between-turkish-backed-extremists-attacking-syrias-aleppo

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[–] GVAGUY3@hexbear.net 55 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

I have no love for Assad, but recognized his role in fighting Israel. It really sucks seeing that Israel is increasingly likely to pull this off alongside everything else they have done.

I don't want to say this will be the end to the resistance. It will move to a new stage.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 54 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

Maduro stays winning? Opposition is weak and in exile, the military is purged, social media is under control, oil industry is doing ok, Colombia, Mexio and Brazil basically de facto recognized Maduro's victory, probably going to join BRICS+ next year.

Opposition keeps hyping that 15 of January 2025, there will be the second coming of Juan Guaido 2 and he will 100% become Venezuela's next president.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

The United States was not given a heads up about the declaration of martial law in South Korea, per NSC. Lee Jae-myung, Han Dong-hoon, and Woo Won-sik have been arrested. - Yonhap

It's Yoonback???!

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[–] quarrk@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Amid the ROK and Syria news, I haven’t seen much about Georgia. Seems like an attempt at Euromaidan 2.0 but does anyone have a clearer picture of the protests?

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[–] sexywheat@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

For what it's worth, Greg Stoker doesn't think that the terrorist rebellion in Syria will succeed. I've never seem him be wrong before, but who knows.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago

South Korea's main labour union has called a general strike until the President resigns - AFP

Yoon's senior aides offer to resign en masse over martial law declaration - Yonhap

South Korea President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment bill may be voted on December 6th or 7th. South Korean protesters are currently marching towards the Presidential Palace - Yonhap

[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago

Daniel Zamora: "Coups in the era of hyperpolitics: improvised, chaotic and with no future. The yellow vests movement but for elites."

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (16 children)

A few months ago I thought it was surprising how stable Syria is considering the shitty economic situation. Things turn around fast :|

Similar case with Bangladesh as well, when this year started, I thought how solid Bangladesh appeared.

What's next? Egypt? They've an extremely repressive 'dictator', who unlike Syria and to lesser extent Bangladesh is backed by the west. But their economy is not doing so great and the Government hasn't provided any solutions.

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[–] LargePenis@hexbear.net 54 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

It will be the greatest day of my life if we see these scenes in Cairo and Amman one day

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 54 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Al Rastan bridge has been hit by Russian bombs. Presumably to slow HTS advance.

Looks like they want to hold Homs to me.

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[–] LargePenis@hexbear.net 53 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

SAA retreating from the entire south and the desert. It's officially joever. They'll do a last stand in Damascus, then flee to the coast and make their little Alawite Abkhazia.

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[–] GoodGuyWithACat@hexbear.net 53 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

You know who is probably hating this? hillary-contempt In Hillary's mind, this should be happening at the end of her second term. Toppling Assad would be the culmination of her admin and her time as Secretary. But Joe is asleep at the wheel at Trump will probably take credit.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 53 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Democratic Party chairman Lee Jae-myung: "We are not leaving the Assembly Hall until the president declares the end of the martial law. Seoul: The WaPo Tokyo bureau chief says ROK military leadership is stating that martial law will remain in effect until lifted by the President. Lee Jae-myung: "Following President Yoon's orders is illegal... Military and police must return quickly"

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[–] jack@hexbear.net 52 points 3 weeks ago (9 children)

Parliamentary resolution to dissolve martial law passed - what happens now? https://www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR20241204006100001?input=tw

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 52 points 2 weeks ago (7 children)

in a move surprising absolutely no one

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 52 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

One theory going around: Those aligned with Yoon didn't show up in person for the vote despite condemning the actions. The military let the opposition vote. Martial law prohibits the process of parliament. This would allow President Yoon & his Defence minister the authority to detain the opposition, who quickly got together to vote. Did the opposition fall for it hook, line, and sinker?

A large column of police reinforcements has arrived at the National Assembly. Hundreds of officers. Their intentions are unclear, but there has been no attempt to disburse the growing rally/protest.

[–] someone@hexbear.net 52 points 3 weeks ago (9 children)

One of the most well-connected spaceflight journalists, Eric Berger, has bumped his earlier 50/50 coinflip prediction of the possible cancellation of SLS up to 75% likely. This is certainly due to Trump nominating Jared Isaacman to be his NASA Administrator. Isaacman is the rich guy who's flown twice on SpaceX's Crew Dragon on privately-contracted flights, not through the NASA astronaut corps. He was also the guy who did that suit-test spacewalk a few months ago on one of those private flights. Isaacman won't have the authority to cancel SLS on his own but it's definitely a capital-M Message to the US senate to fall in line. It's probably the most heartbreaking of heartbreaking moments, because fuck SLS.

There have been 14 Administrators and only 3 have ever flown to space. Richard Truly, Charles Bolden, and the current one Bill Nelson. Bolden was Obama's pick. He has expertise and flight experience, but his whole management style at NASA was "don't rock the boat even when the boat needs to be rocked". Nelson deserves an asterisk on his "spaceflight" record, he only did it once on the Space Shuttle, and it was basically a political publicity stunt as he did no actual work on the flight. In NASA's astronaut corps Nelson's nickname is "Ballast". Nelson has been merciless in helping Biden and the US senate cut NASA's science program budgets.

Isaacman is a very interesting pick. I was expecting someone much worse, like some flat-earther or a climate change denier or just some idiot Trump ally looking for a cushy job to coast in. Isaacman is none of those things. He's someone with a very high level of technical knowledge and personal spaceflight experience doing actual work in space (the aforementioned suit tests, which are neither safe nor easy). He's popular in NASA's Science Directorate because for years he's been penning letters to US politicians to increase funding for existing and planned science missions. One of the most notable was his letter directly to Biden to try to reverse cuts to the Chandra space telescope program. Chandra is a very special kind of orbiting telescope. It sees in X-rays which our atmosphere blocks. There's not many orbiting X-ray telescopes, and Chandra is one of the best of them. Chandra is vital for observing very high-energy events and objects. It's still fully functional and likely will be for another 10 years. The budget cuts were just plain bureaucratic cruelty.

For those unfamiliar with SLS, it's the US senate's ongoing project to keep sending billions in cash to the former Space Shuttle contractors. It's a dreadful rube-goldberg of a rocket with Boeing as the prime contractor. It's made from leftover Space Shuttle components and tooling, like the RS-25 main engines, the solid rocket boosters (the kind that killed the Challenger crew), the big orange hydrogen/oxygen propellant tank, etc. SLS is the 2nd attempt at this sort of rehash program. The earlier cancelled Ares rocket series was the first attempt. SLS has an expected per-launch cost of about $4 billion (on top of the $20 billion and counting development costs), with a construction rate of about one every 18 months. And it has less payload capacity than the original Saturn V. You can easily play spot-the-similiarities between the three launch systems. The US senate micromanages NASA's budget. "Space is expensive" because the US defence contractors paying US senators' bribes want it to be expensive.

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