this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024
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One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


(page 5) 50 comments
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[–] Sulvor@hexbear.net 64 points 1 month ago (2 children)
[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Hurricane Milton looks like ‘storm of the century’ says Biden

For him. The century has ~75 years left.

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[–] take_five_seconds@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (16 children)
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[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

I once again will encourage you all to check out Jon Elmer’s “Resistance Report” section on this week’s Electronic Intifada livesteam. The whole thing is great but Jon’s segment (starts at 1:51:40) is really a wonderful cure for doomerism.

The Resistance is fighting hard and it appears in Gaza that their ability to fight the entity has not degraded at all in the last year. And it’s only just now that Israel has had to commit serious ground troops to Lebanon and this had to come at the cost of taking troops out of Gaza, so the already inept IOF has to try and do more with less in Gaza (and they were already failing with “more”).

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[–] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Rant

I fucking hate liberals. I thought writing out my comment would make me feel better but it did the opposite.

---

I saw mention of David Simon on Bluesky and I wondered what he had to say about Gaza and genocide. I found a tweet that is quite something. I had to read it a few times because he obfuscates. I've always thought it's funny when something can be phrased simply but the person can't do that. To me it's a Freudian slip. They are so arrogant and obnoxious they convince themselves that confusing and muddled text makes their self-defined iron-clad case even stronger.

He refuses to mention any place or group by name. He avoids words like Gaza, Gazans, Israel, Israelis. I might be wrong but I don't think even the UN does that when taking about a specific location with a specific war and not some abstract, theoretical debate club bullshit. He claims what's happening in Gaza is not a genocide because there has been no intention by Israel to destroy or mass murder the populace.

Also - hypothetically - if somebody makes civilians suffer or targets them that guy is a war criminal. Obviously - that's kind of weird. Israel isn't just small bunch of guys in Gaza committing war crimes. In any case - he says they should be prosecuted fully. After that he pokes fun at people who in his opinion - intentionally or not - misuses the words genocide and war criminal.

He believes the silly people conflate horrific-but-oopsie mass death and suffering as genocide when he says that some undefined group might be war criminals.

If with intent, you attempt to mass murder a people by any means -- starvation included -- it is a genocide. But if the prosecution of a war results in human desperation without the intention of a belligerent to destroy or mass murder the populace, no. That said. If you are needlessly indifferent to the sufferings of civilians, or if you work to maximize or increase that suffering, or if you target civilians without regard for their status, I'd say you are a war criminal.

Few people are acknowledging that even war crimes, which should be prosecuted fully, are not genocides. They use the words interchangeably now as rhetoric.

https://xcancel.com/AoDespair/status/1827461170963656899#m

---

Ninja edit

Despite myself I kept looking around at his tweets. He also praised Israel's pager terror attack. Because of course he did.

You can call it terror or you can it a war. But certainly, throwing rockets without regard to where they land is indiscriminate, as are, perhaps, many of the Israeli air sorties in reply. Civilians are at great risk. This business with the pagers, purchased for use by Hezbollah combatants and officials, is pretty damn discriminate as weapons systems go.

https://xcancel.com/AoDespair/status/1836783946178134277#m

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago (4 children)

Finally came across the sat pic with the power outtages from Helene. Sept. 28. Sure its going to be a few days to weeks for the pics of the extent of Milton to come out. Milton hit the area that's just to the South of Helene.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 63 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (9 children)

Hezbollah drone strike on IDF base ~~kills~~ injures 61 IDF troops (Sky News)

Hezbollah footage: https://tankie.tube/w/qzRpLXMkRLuJLexieHHXVA

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Virgin Zionist media: We have 10 sources saying Qaani is a traitor.

Chad Iranian media: We have 20 sources that say your 10 sources are full of shit.

https://xcancel.com/AryJeay/status/1844527011743588639

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago (3 children)

me coping and seething with barely concealed tears: He can't keep getting away with this!

Jackson Hinkle interviewing Ansarallah
https://xcancel.com/LegitTargets/status/1843420825451446700

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago (1 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago

Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira said this Thursday that his country will maintain its position in favor of dialogue in Venezuela, a country in which Brazil has great interests.

Brazil actually depends on Venezuelan oil and energy aid for it's most northern states.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago (7 children)

Looks like the hurricane it's hitting Florida pretty hard rn

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (5 children)

Live stream announcement from Al-Quassam Brigades on YouTube, happening right now: https://www.youtube.com/live/B21OJIb66-U

EDIT: It repeats.

EDIT: Interesting. They call the Oct 7 action "preemptive". I can't recall exactly how this has been documented over the last year, but I suspect this means Hamas had good intel telling them that Israel's escalation of the genocide that's happening over the last year was going to happen anyway. We should perhaps work on analyzing this and making it clear where/if true. On some level we've, of course, known that Israel was just looking for an excuse to flatten Gaza. But solid evidence of that that we could shove in liberals' faces would be pretty cool. It undermines the "but, but, but was it WORTH IT?!" argument.

EDIT: LOL. I posted and stickied this in /r/BreadTube. Then I cross-posted it to /r/Palestine, who removed it, citing "Reddit's Content Policy, Reddiquette, and Moderator Code of Conduct". Sorry, but: fucking cowards! (They also removed a video of a rally by Jill Stein, Worker's Strike Back, and Abandon Harris about opposing electoral support for genocide, but w/e.)

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[–] GnastyGnuts@hexbear.net 61 points 1 month ago

Happy October 7th everybody! Death to israel and zionism!

[–] bloodfart@lemmy.ml 60 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Ooh hexbear on all/active page 1!

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[–] HelltakerHomosexual@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago (2 children)

https://www.dw.com/en/north-korea-moving-to-blow-up-cross-border-roads-seoul-says/a-70483720

it seems the DPRK is cutting all roads to the south. Some are saying this precludes invasion but why would you blow up the roads leading to the place you're invading? Seems to be a defensive measure.

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[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (6 children)

Updated Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/080834.shtml?

MIATCDAT4+shtml/080834.shtml?) 000
WTNT44 KNHC 080834
TCDAT4

Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
400 AM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024

The structure of Milton has changed significantly overnight. The pinhole eye seen yesterday has filled and earlier aircraft data showed a double eyewall structure. More recent microwave images show only one larger eyewall, and it is clear that Milton is completing an eyewall replacement cycle. These eyewall replacement cycles are common in strong hurricanes and often cause the peak winds to fluctuate, while the wind field generally expands. Based on the aircraft data from a few hours ago, the initial intensity is set at 135 kt. Both the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate Milton again later this morning.

The major hurricane is beginning to gain latitude, and the latest initial motion estimate is 075/10 kt. A turn to the northeast with a slight increase in forward speed is expected later today and Wednesday as the hurricane moves in the flow between a trough digging into the Gulf of Mexico and a ridge near the Greater Antilles. This motion should take the core of Milton to west-central Florida Wednesday night. After the hurricane passes Florida, a faster east-northeastward motion is expected within a more zonal steering flow. Little change was made to the track forecast through landfall, but this prediction is a little slower while the system enters and moves over the Atlantic.

Fluctuations in strength due to continued structural changes are likely during the next day or so while Milton moves across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. An increase in vertical wind shear will likely cause some weakening before the hurricane reaches Florida, but there is high confidence that Milton will remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it reaches the state. After landfall, more notable weakening is forecast and Milton is now expected to become extratropical by day 3 when it is over the Atlantic. The NHC intensity forecast lies at the high end of the model guidance in best agreement with the hurricane regional models.

Milton is still a relatively compact hurricane, but the wind field is expected to continue to grow in size as it approaches Florida. In fact, the official forecast shows the hurricane and tropical-storm-force winds roughly doubling in size by the time it makes landfall. Therefore, damaging winds, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall will extend well outside the forecast cone. It is worth emphasizing that this is a very serious situation and residents in Florida should closely follow orders from their local emergency management officials. Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida.

Key Messages:

  1. Damaging hurricane-force winds and a life-threatening storm surge with destructive waves are expected across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula today.

  2. Milton is expected to grow in size and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it approaches the west coast of Florida on Wednesday. A large area of destructive storm surge will occur along parts of the west coast of Florida. This is an extremely life-threatening situation and residents in those areas should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate immediately if told to do so.

  3. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property in the warning areas should be complete by tonight.

  4. Areas of heavy rainfall will continue to impact portions of Florida well ahead of Milton through early Thursday. This rainfall brings the risk of life-threatening flash, urban and aerial flooding along with moderate to major river flooding. Flooding will be exacerbated in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall threat.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0900Z 22.3N 88.9W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 08/1800Z 22.9N 87.5W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 09/0600Z 24.2N 85.8W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 09/1800Z 26.0N 84.2W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 10/0600Z 27.6N 82.6W 110 KT 125 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
60H 10/1800Z 28.8N 79.9W 70 KT 80 MPH...OVER WATER
72H 11/0600Z 29.7N 76.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 12/0600Z 30.4N 69.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 13/0600Z 31.5N 63.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Graphics

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[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 60 points 1 month ago (7 children)

They banned discord in Turkiye. Darn

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago (1 children)
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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (9 children)

The Nobels are being awarded and both physics and chemistry prize have gone to AI related breakthroughs.

The Nobel Prize in Physics has been awarded to two scientists, Geoffrey Hinton and John Hopfield, for their work on machine learning.

Demis Hassabis and John Jumper of DeepMind and computational biologist David Baker share prize for protein structure breakthroughs

The chemistry one was very obvious that it would be eventually awarded for the development of AlphaFold. But the physics one has come as surprise for many, and it is controversial among physicists.

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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (9 children)
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[–] refolde@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago

Some lousy no good disease was trying to make me too sick to remember the first anniversary of October 7th.

[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago (5 children)

Denmark's succdem-led right-wing regime intends to clamp down on the right express pro-Palestinian and anti-apartheid views. A new bill proposed by the regime that is likely to pass Denmark's rubber-stamp parliament will slap a statutory extra 50% on top of the punishment for "hate crimes" committed at protests or public meetings. In addition, the police will be enabled to unilaterally declare a nationwide "increased punishment period" during which the penalty for any so-called "hate crimes" will be increased by 50%.

Free expression on the internet is also in the crosshairs of the regime's authoritarian measures. If the bill passes the police will be empowered to demand the removal of any "terrorism-related" material from social media, online media or websites. Service providers will only be given one hour to comply, there is no system of appeals and the current requirement for a judge to sign off on the censorship will be removed, effectively giving the police unchecked powers to remove any material that crosses the regime.

The bill itself is written in abstract legal terms normally used for hate crimes but the regime makes no attempt to hide that the intent is to punish and suppress the movement against apartheid, genocide and zionism. The only example given by the succdem-controlled ministry of justice for when the new powers would be used are so-called "antisemitic hate crimes" relating to the Al-Aqsa Flood.

The regime has consistently been equating anti-zionism with antisemitism. In the remarks to the bills the regime writes that it is intended to suppres so-called antisemitism "generated by a disdain for the state of 'Israel'".

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[–] Sasuke@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Palestinian Authority to attend BRICS summit, apply for membership (The Cradle, Aug 26, 2024)

Palestine’s ambassador in Moscow, Abdel Hafeez Nofal, said on 26 August that Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas had received an invitation from President Vladimir Putin to attend the upcoming BRICS summit.

“We received an invitation from President Putin to President Abbas, and he was invited to participate in the BRICS summit prior to the invitation [to visit Russia] … but we will see if the prime minister will participate,” Nofal said. “The most important thing is that we [Palestinian representatives] will participate in this event,” he added.

The ambassador said Abbas and Putin have a good relationship with one another and can meet at any time.

“After our first participation in the BRICS summit, we will send a request to join this association,” Nofal revealed.

He also said that Putin promised Abbas that the upcoming BRICS summit in the Russian city of Kazan, scheduled for October 2024, will include a session dedicated primarily to Palestine.

Old article, but with the BRICS summit in Russia approaching (22–24 Oct), I need to hear what (if anything) my fellow newsmega heads expect will come from this.

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[–] PorkrollPosadist@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (12 children)

Advisories, graphics, and forecasts (in block quotes) from NOAA. This post might not contain the most up-to-date information. Always check official sources.

Hurricane Milton, currently pounding the north of the Yucatan peninsula, is expected to make landfall in Florida on Wednesday. It has intensified into a ~~Category 4 storm, and might even reach~~ Category 5 ~~before landfall.~~ Large portions of the coast of western Florida can expect storm surges over 12 feet (3.6 meters), in addition to 5-15 inches (13-38cm) of rainfall and winds reaching ~~130MPH+ (209km/h+)~~ 157+ MPH (252+ km/h).

second-plane What's this? I am receiving news that it is now a Category 5.

RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with localized totals up to 15 inches, are expected across portions of the Florida Peninsula and the Keys through Wednesday night. This rainfall brings the risk of considerable flash, urban, and areal flooding, along with the potential for moderate to major river flooding.

Milton will also produce rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals around 6 inches across northern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula..

Hurricane Milton
Advisory Number 10
10 AM CDT Monday October 07, 2024

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Anclote River, FL to Englewood, FL...8-12 ft
Tampa Bay...8-12 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Anclote River, FL...5-10 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...5-10 ft
Charlotte Harbor...5-10 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to Chokoloskee, FL...4-7 ft
Suwannee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL...3-5 ft
Chokoloskee, FL to Flamingo, FL...2-4 ft
Flamingo, FL to Card Sound Bridge, FL...1-3 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Suwannee River, FL...1-3 ft
Florida Keys...1-3 ft
Dry Tortugas...1-3 ft

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[–] volcel_olive_oil@hexbear.net 59 points 1 month ago (1 children)

DEATHTOISRAEL
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THTOISRAELDEA
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TOISRAELDEATH
OISRAELDEATHT
ISRAELDEATHTO
SRAELDEATHTOI
RAELDEATHTOIS
AELDEATHTOISR
ELDEATHTOISRA
LDEATHTOISRAE

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