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Over the past two months, I've noticed a drop in engagement on Lemmy. Communities that used to have a decent amount of new content posted over a week, are now lacking or nonexistent. I've noticed this to be highly true with all communities with less than 3k subscribers. I don't recall the name of the theory, but it was something like 'community content theory.' It goes something like this:
'Around 1% of people in an online community will share content and/or try to provide original content. To have this number grow, you have to provide a way for the content posters to continue to post.'
https://www.psychreg.org/psychology-content-creating-why-we-share-what-we-share/
In my experience, the third one rings true most often with people.
That being said, we should take a look at the kind of communities that are not getting much engagement.
https://lemmyverse.net/communities?order=active
Here we can see the stats for all of the communities across hundreds of instances. (Filters can be applied.)
What's surprising to me, is the ratio of subs to active users there are. After a two minute look, I believe I see that there are a few outliers where they have nearly all of the subs active and fewer that have more actives to subs. Most of what I'm seeing is around 1/3 ratio of subs to active users per week, of the best performers. Definitely not the norm.
I have a few theories as to why this is, but would love to hear from others.
People are running out of memes to repost from reddit
I enjoyed your analysis! I think you meant
Subs being subscribers, and these data possibly providing evidence of there being less engagement of late, per OP's point
Ooh nice.