this post was submitted on 01 Jul 2023
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UK Politics

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By-election betting market probabilities (as of 1 July) (kbin.social)
submitted 1 year ago by theinspectorst@kbin.social to c/uk_politics
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Uxbridge and South Ruislip - 20 July:

  • Lab 95%

  • Con 5%

Selby and Ainsty - 20 July:

  • Lab 63%

  • Con 37%

Somerton and Frome - 20 July:

  • Lib Dem 93%

  • Con 2%

Mid-Bedfordshire - tbc:

  • Lib Dem 62%

  • Con 31%

  • Lab 7%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West - tbc:

  • Lab 89%

  • SNP 1%

Source: Betfair Exchange (mid odds, converted to probabilities).

Note: some of these markets aren't that liquid so the prices may add up to less than 100%.

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[–] theinspectorst@kbin.social 2 points 1 year ago

They're the ones that have by-elections coming up.