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I don't think you fully appreciate the stigma and roadblocks associated with being trans. This isn't something people do on a whim and the data supports it. They are part of my community when they say they are.
The children that have self advocated enough to persistently ask enough for medical transition deserve the opportunity to do so. Like truly, think of the position you would be putting them in.
Blocking anyone from getting the care they say they need is reckless. It's not yours or the laws place to put up roadblocks to deny them that opportunity. It's not protecting kids but quite the opposite, it simply raises the risk of self harm.
The metric of 10 years is a high bar, but the data does exist.
220 youths who had accessed puberty blockers or hormones were detailed by the youth and/or their parents as part of an ongoing decade-long study of transgender youth. At a mean of 4.86 years after beginning blockers and 3.40 years after beginning hormones, they reported very high levels of satisfaction and low levels of regret; the overwhelming majority (97%) continued to access gender-affirming medical care.
When the researchers asked more about these regrets, she says, “often the regrets they were expressing had to do with [wishing] they hadn't done blockers and they'd gone straight to hormones, or they maybe had a negative side effect related to the blockers.” For instance, having an implant that got irritated.