this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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If you're not in a swing state, and Harris is going to win your state easily, it's fine to vote for a third party. If there's even a slim chance she is going to lose your state, you can't justify it. Harm reduction, guys.
No. Your vote still counts. Don't throw it away on a third party "just because.".
Vote third party in your local elections, where they actually can do something. Get them into the system. Do not waste it on a zero chance presidential election.
got invited to a 2016 watch party my a political junky friend. room full of people talking about how awesome it was that hillary would just win so they got to pick their dream 3rd party and make a statement with their vote. i didn't even stay to watch my state get called. they were crushed by the realization that so many people were in fact exactly who they'd said they are. couldnt watch them experiance that, couldn't find any sympathy to offer them.
Those people didn't even look at a poll (which were actually fairly accurate that year)? They didn't even check to see if Hillary was within ten points of losing their state (a greater margin of error than any modern polling miss)? That's on them. That's not what I'm advocating here.
they did though? this wasnt a room full of people still amped up becauee they'd just learned about the spanish civil war, or that anarchism isnt random acts of chaos. the party i attended was a room full of people who understood the electoral college well enough to make their own bingo style drinking game from it. we all got printed game sheets when we arrived. people who'd not voted for nader because they knew the price of that. everybody though the corpo democrats would show up. they thought a lot of republicans would vote for the overqualified lady who didnt smile enough inside that private voting booth when none of their friends could see. they all thought we were done with the klan until they watched an actual klansman winning. the fucking klansman is right there running again, we already watch how this thing goes.
Voting for the Dems, a centrist party, in a non swing state, IS throwing your vote away. It will not make a difference and you're not expressing who you really support. The point of voting is (in order) to (1) reduce the terrible shit that's happening in our country and (2) to express your political preferences. If you're in a swing state you cannot do (1) by voting, and if you vote for the Dems you cannot do (2), assuming you're not a shitty centrist.
There is no such thing as "not a swing state" in this election. Take it from me, a Georgian: in 2020, my state wasn't a swing state until all of a sudden it was. If people here took your advice, the Democrats would've lost the Senate that year.
I'm in Washington. The Dems are not losing Washington. You're in Georgia. The Dems stand a good chance of losing Georgia. That's the difference.
I think people forget what it's like to not live in a swing state. I haven't seen an ad for a presidential candidate all year.
As a Californian I'd have agreed with you except I think even a vote here signals something we need: the dire need to get rid of the electrical college. If Harris wins the national popular vote 60-40, it's even more obvious how busted it is. She wins Senate and House? You might see change. At least, as likely as a 60-40 win, lol.
That said, let's be honest, Green hasn't deserved a vote in decades. I really wish they'd try smaller races they could win and build momentum.
Sending an electoral college message is a decent argument. I'm not persuaded about the house and senate argument though. In my case, I may not vote for Harris, because as somebody from Washington, she's not gonna lose Washington. But I'm voting for a bunch of downballot Dems because they're better progressives on a bunch of issues that Harris is not a good on. If it were even within fifteen points in Washington I'd vote for her, but I don't want to vote for genocide if I don't have to.
It helps I don't see it as a pro-genecide vote, I guess. It sucks you can't that pride in casting a vote for someone who seems like a genuinely good candidate on many other issues. Not that the situation in Gaza isn't genecide, but that it's probably not as easy as people think to wane ourselves off Israeli support. After all, Harris is clearly very calculated and rational in her stances and it's clearly better calculus to disavow Israel unless there's something we don't know. I trust her to try and make the choice that leads to less death.
If I had to guess, Iran probably scares those in the know and Israel is being used as a counter measure. Recent escalation suggests as much. After Iraq, we don't exactly have a lot of support in the region and after Trump tanked our deals with Iran, they probably have nukes by now or are damn near close. But that's just a guess.
Of course, I'm not trying to sway you, an inconsequential voter. Just, it seems unfair to assume anyone supporting Harris is somehow pro-genecide. Hell, my number one issue is education and that's not even on the board!
an active genocider running with the policy of continuing it getting 60% of popular vote will be the most shameful thing in our history.
Even in your hypothetical, Trump getting ~40% of the popular vote in that scenario is more shameful.
No.
There he is
If it's meaningless, it's meaningless either way.
The important fact here is that strongholds can, in fact, fall. Especially when people stop guarding it because it never fell.
harm reduction has a specific meaning. voting is not harm reduction.