this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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Sorry if this is a stupid question, but this kinda itches my brain

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[–] darkcalling@lemmygrad.ml 8 points 2 weeks ago

Maybe, maybe not.

There's only one imperialist bloc that towers over all the others and sucks all the oxygen out of the air and that's the US led order compromising all of NATO, the EU, Australia, New Zealand, and hanger-on occupied Asian vassals like Japan, occupied Korea.

The most Russia can do for instance is align with anti-imperialist blocs like BRICS for protection and do some minor supporting of anti-US actors by proxy in Africa and elsewhere. Ukraine is going alright for Russia but it's a definite drain, they didn't want it to start with and made it worse with years of avoiding it, they still don't want it and they don't want another fight though the US is intent on trying to start more skirmishes between them and say Georgia and Moldova but neither present the kind of military that Ukraine fields and would last very long even if Russia had the appetite to confront their neo-liberal aggression against it and Russian people.

I could see say India or Brazil doing some regional imperialism but not against other potential imperialist powers like each other or Russia. These might at times butt up a little against US interests but I don't think it will escalate to open war because no one wants to fight the US. Maybe once the US has their Suez Canal moment and they look like a paper tiger more chances will be taken but even then I think that has to happen plus the end of US dollar hegemony as well otherwise they just ruin you or inflict great pain greater than the gains you could get through those financial means and sanctions. Mostly we see angling and hedging of bets. Various countries trying to do things for their own interests against US interests and with the interests of other powers or power blocs but avoiding pushing it so far that anyone wants to go to war over it. You see Turkey doing this kind of angling and there are countries like Hungary in Europe who try and maximize their own benefit by not being drawn too closely to the side of any one power and playing the various powers against each other while avoiding directly angering any of them to the point of confrontation.