350
Harris leads Trump 2-1 among the earliest voters, many driven by abortion access: new poll
(www.usatoday.com)
this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
350 points (97.6% liked)
politics
19145 readers
2591 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
This is actually pretty dangerous news. Hillary was also leading in the polls.
This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.
That's literally a poll, though.
But, real data is used. There is not a turn out model of past elections. This is real people and real numbers being my point.
Every time you vote, your name is checked off on precinct rolls. There's no guessing on who has voted. Quite handy when it comes to GOTV
But just because you vote doesn't mean you take the poll. You can easily walk past or say no. It's still a poll, yes it's taken at an election facility, but it is not the same data set as the actual votes
Sure, you can refuse an exit poll. But, they are surprisingly accurate.
I think the point is that this isn't an advance poll to see how people might vote, where people might end up changing their minds. It's instead people who have just voted saying who they actually voted for.
It's still a poll, and all polls have inherent biases. These sorts of announcements are a bad thing because they lead to people not voting.
Yeah, you have a point there.
Gah! Why does everyone bring this up? Was no one around in October 2016?!
James Comey, Director FBI, publicly announced they were reopening the investigation into Clinton's emails, 3 weeks before the election.
Liberals are always saying, "But her emails, hurr!" Yes, her emails. This was explosive news and handed the election to Trump. Doesn't matter that Clinton later faced no consequences, all the public heard was, "Meh. Maybe she is a criminal. We're having another look."
The polls were right, Clinton would have won if not for this absolute bombshell at the 11th hour.
The polls still had her winning up to election night.
These poll numbers are at best worthless, and at worse they'll make people not vote because it appears that Harris has it in the bag.
Eh sort of. She was favored to win but the odds weren't a clear dunk peopre keep insisting.
And she did still win the popular vote.