this post was submitted on 18 Oct 2024
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And Finally...
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Any smart heads that can tell me how fidning 2 cases of something gives enough of a clue that this might occur as often as 1 in 5-6 million live births?
Populations tend to follow normal distributions. This was first studied by a scientist working for Guinness brewery. He wanted to share his work without revealing his employer, so he published under the pseudonym Student. This is where we get the student's t test.
Anyways, statistics math is complicated but you can make some inferences about prevalence based on a small sample by assuming normal distribution.
I would imagine it's estimated from the type of mutation and the math involved of how common that class of mutation tends to be. Like how many genes have to change randomly and the chances of each one happening on average, multiplied together. The odds could be similar because the same genes are involved and only one of them controls the difference between 2 and 3, and the odds of it being 3 aren't that much more rare, but 3 would be more likely to go undiscovered because the odds of them lining up with the scrotum and being small enough to be completely obscurred externally are significantly higher. So then they are only discovered if there is any reason to look inside the scrotum. Most dead bodies don't get examined, not like on TV. And even if they do, the odds of their being any reason to look inside the scrotum are pretty low.
So there could be just as many people that have had it, but none ever knew.
Maybe they checked 10 - 12 million people to find those 2
Yeah, and if diphalia occurs at roughly the same rate (1 in 5.5 million), why is it 50x as common, and why, given the rate, wouldn't there be over a thousand people with the condition alive today?
Most important difference, when there is 2, they appear in a pair side by side, and are generally both visible. When there is three, the middle one is in the place you would expect and the other two tend to grow much smaller and inside the scrotum. Not likely to ever have any reason to look for penises in there. For all you know, you could have it. Assuming you have at least one penis you know of currently, that is. And even if you do have 3, you will likely never know. And even after you die, there is a very low chance anyone will find out. Very few bodies get autopsies or donated to science. And even if you do, there is not much reason to look inside a scrotum either way.
clearly this alone is a good enough reason to promote vahinoplasties.
You look in a lot of nutsacks.