this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2024
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The world population is expected to start shrinking within this century after hitting a peak in the mid-2080s due to lower fertility levels, particularly in China, according to the latest projection by the United Nations.

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[–] Kazumara@discuss.tchncs.de 14 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (4 children)

That's a pretty long prediction window, no? I feel like a lot can happen in even just 20 years to mess up any assumptions, like open war between super powers (maybe China and USA over Taiwan), big water migration movements by worsening climate change, new pandemics, countries intervening in their sinking birth rate trends, things like that.

[–] Shard@lemmy.world 5 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Pandemics and wars do not appreciably increase birth rates.

Countries attempting to stem population decline have generally had poor results, case in point, Japan, Korea and most other developed economies.

[–] iTzCharmander@lemmy.world 7 points 3 months ago

Japan and Korean attempts at increasing birthrate completely ignore the problem that is their horrible work culture that prevents people from having actual lives

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