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I want this to happen so badly.
All the cartel has to do is wait until it's above 90 or below 40 and roll into giant free land grab where the local opposition doesn't even have electricity and there is less than zero coordination because every single individual considers themselves a lone wolf that doesn't need to work with other people.
I desperately want to hear a bunch of people who just voted to succeed plead with the government to come help them because they didn't think this through literally 10 minutes past holding the vote.
Another immediate consequence would be water. Current interstate agreements on water rights would be voided and need to be renegotiated. So day one the rest of the US and Mexico could just stop the flow of water into Texas with damn near zero recourse
They wouldn't be able to do it right away, all the inhabitants would be in castle-defense mode.
But if they were to blow up a couple hundred culverts, any would-be defenders would expire in 2 months, leaving their guns in their emaciated arms.