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The original was posted on /r/singularity by /u/ale_93113 on 2024-01-17 05:14:17+00:00.
I hear many people say that they expect AGI by 2025, 2027, 2030, whatever date, but then they put ASI a decade or more away
What's the reasoning behind these large gaps?
AGI means that an AI is as intelligent as the average human on all areas, contrary to popular belief AI experts, aswell as mathematicians aren't superhuman, we have more knowledge, which is hard to acquire but we aren't more intelligent than the average human brain
If AGI is made thanks to the ingenuity of human minds, then what is stopping that AI from improving itself to quickly become ASI?
It was my perception that, once AI happens, ASI would follow at most a couple of years behind, and I cannot see the reasoning behind a gap that is larger than, say, 4-5 years