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My bet is USA vs. China over Taiwan
China watched Ukraine fail. They’re likely building ten million drones at the moment.
We’re practically there. If Poland or Belarus had rolled into the Ukraine conflict (most likely Belarus attacking Ukraine and Poland sending peace keeping troops), we’d have been in a world war with a limited nuclear exchange pretty soon.
It’s crazy that no one has mentioned Israel yet. The Middle East has been unstable, bloody, violent for so long, and the mess is so complicated that it always had my vote. Remember that Israel is a tiny country with nuclear weapons surrounded by countries who have vowed to destroy it
trump gets re-elected.....
My guess is fairly general but something along the following lines:
Climate change fueled freak weather occurrence/years of such lead to massive food insecurity (or massive influx of refugees from a nearby country suffering from the above) in a poor but nuclear armed nation (think Pakistan) leading them to freak out and elect someone crazy (like America did with trump when they went from being the richest country in the world to still the richest country in the world.
Results: crazy threats, escalations, someone launches a pre-emptive attack or there's a coup, nuclear weapons are launched in the havoc and then things really spiral.
So Fallout?