this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2023
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UK Politics

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Westminister Voting Intention:

LAB: 47% (+1)

CON: 22% (-2)

LDM: 9% (-1)

REF: 9% (+1)

GRN: 7% (=)

SNP: 3% (=)

Via @YouGov , On 5-6 July, Changes w/ 27-27 June.

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[โ€“] that_ginger_one 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 22.0% 95
LAB ๐ŸŒน 47.0% 453
LD ๐Ÿ”ถ 9.0% 43
REFUK โžก๏ธ 9.0% 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 7.0% 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 3% 33
PC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries') *updated with Scotland as full tables are available:

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 44.7% 375 22.0% 0 313 -313 63
LAB ๐ŸŒน 33.0% 198 47.0% 328 0 +328 525
LIB ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.8% 8 9% 12 0 +12 20
Reform โžก๏ธ 2.1% 0 9% 0 0 +0 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 2.8% 1 7% 0 0 +0 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 4.0% 48 3.2% 3 31 -28 20
PlaidC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
Other โฌœ๏ธ 1.1% 0 2.3% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire โฌœ๏ธ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down ๐Ÿ‘€

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
13% 36% 9% 2% 5% 33%

PrincipleFish

[Broad Region breakdown used here]