this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Image is of Colombian President Gustavo Petro giving a speech at the UN in 2022.


Trump has arrived in office with the force of an avalanche; ~~ending~~ slowing a genocide on the one hand, while simultaneously promising a total nightmare for minorities and the poor throughout and outside the United States on the other hand. [edited for clarity; I do not actually think Trump has ended the Palestinian genocide obviously, I was making a joke - but the ceasefire is a genuine improvement in conditions for millions of people right now who are on the edge of death, so it cannot be dismissed]

It's still far too early to truly compare and contrast his imperial strategy with Biden's, but initial signs show that there does appear to be somewhat of a reorientation. Biden was famous for being two-faced; ostensibly offering aid and stability, while also blowing up your pipeline to ensure you did not actually have an alternative to his idea. Trump, meanwhile, seems only really capable of aggression, threatening several "allied" nations with what may as well be sanctions because of the economic harm they'd do. I suspect we'll be debating for a long time how much of this can be attributed to the specific characteristics of Trump, or whether he merely embodies the zeitgeist of imperial decline - a wounded empire lashing out with extreme violence to try and convince everybody, including themselves, that they can still be the world imperialist hegemon.

I'll admit it: I did not believe that Trump would actually try and go ahead with putting tariffs on basically anybody who annoys him. And while the threat could still be empty in regards to countries like China and Canada, Colombia is the first indication of the potential of his strategy. Despite some fiery words from President Petro, after Trump's administration revealed the punishment if Colombia did not agree, it appears that Colombia will in fact be accepting deported migrants after all. It's funny how that works.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

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The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 4 points 10 minutes ago

Sheinbaum orders tariffs against the USA in response to Trump; "categorically" rejects criminal alliances

Sheinbaum ordered the Secretary of Economy, Marcelo Ebrard, to implement tariff and non-tariff measures for defenders of Mexican interests, after the United States imposed widespread tariffs on Mexican products.

The President of Mexico, Claudia Sheinbaum, said this Wednesday that she does not believe that this week US President Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs on the country and its neighbor Canada will come true.

President Claudia Sheinbaum ordered Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard to implement tariff and non-tariff measures to defend Mexico's interests, after the United States imposed widespread tariffs on Mexican products.

The president also "categorically rejected the White House's slander against the Government of Mexico of having alliances with criminal organizations, as well as any interventionist intention in our territory," responding to Washington's statement that Mexican drug trafficking organizations have a "intolerable alliance" with the Government of Mexico.

[–] sentient@hexbear.net 3 points 15 minutes ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/pentagon-removes-major-media-outlets-nbc-news-dedicated-workstations-p-rcna190276

nyt, politico, npr, and nbc told to leave their offices in the pentagon to make room for breitbart, OANN, ny post, and... huffington post?

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 26 points 1 hour ago (3 children)

We finally found out what Trump's demand is in exchange for removing tariffs on Canada. The demand is... Annexation LMAO.

We pay hundreds of Billions of Dollars to SUBSIDIZE Canada. Why? There is no reason. We don’t need anything they have. We have unlimited Energy, should make our own Cars, and have more Lumber than we can ever use. Without this massive subsidy, Canada ceases to exist as a viable Country. Harsh but true! Therefore, Canada should become our Cherished 51st State. Much lower taxes, and far better military protection for the people of Canada — AND NO TARIFFS!

Donald Trump Truth Social Post 08:26 AM EST 02/02/25

[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 21 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

Please let there be a repeat of 1812

[–] deathtoreddit@lemmygrad.ml 10 points 44 minutes ago (1 children)

Welp, Britain I guess ain't gonna help us.

[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 5 points 20 minutes ago

I dunno don't one of the royal clowns have a Canadian regiment they're figurehead commanders of? You'd figure a smidgen of Yankee land-grabbing would inspire some nascent remains of imperial arrogance at the brazen attempt to steal one of the jewels from the crown of the sundown empire

[–] Cowbee@hexbear.net 2 points 8 minutes ago

Very silly times.

[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 2 points 3 minutes ago

far better military protection for the people of Canada

PROTECTION FROM WHO, DONALD just-one-small-problem

I love the random capitalization too, Lumber a-little-trolling folks, we're going to have so much Lumber a-little-trolling, more Lumber a-little-trolling than you've ever seen before

[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 9 points 51 minutes ago* (last edited 50 minutes ago)

https://wits.worldbank.org/countrysnapshot/en/can

This world Bank website is helpful if anyone is trying to understand who imports and exports what. This one is for Canada.

Here are Canada's import/export partners. Top is export from Canada, and bottom is import to Canada.

I knew Canada was an oil and resource state, but lol Jesus. It's mainly oil.

[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 30 points 2 hours ago (4 children)

What’s with all the “price of eggs” jokes I see from American liberals? They’re all over any Trump-related news articles. Somehow I missed this being a sticking point or culture war issue if it ever was one to begin with.

[–] Cimbazarov@hexbear.net 16 points 1 hour ago

It's just liberals being powerless to stop anything, but instead of realizing that in order to make change you must organize with other people, they just act out in whatever is easiest for them (shit posting online)

[–] Babs@hexbear.net 11 points 1 hour ago

Eggs are very expensive right now and many stores are rationing how many you can buy. It's being used as a measure of "everything sure is expensive now".

[–] iridaniotter@hexbear.net 10 points 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago) (1 children)

In Usonian culture, "price of eggs" is a sort of economic synecdoche used in conversation to describe significant inflation of food prices. It's considered a portent that the President has lost the mandate of the market's free hand, which is necessary for him to wield his bully pulpit.

[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 6 points 28 minutes ago

Much like how Marx wrote about commodity exchange by comparing 20 yards of linen = 1 coat = 10 lbs of tea, etc. The average American measures their exchange of commodities through X amount of eggs = Y amount of big macs = Z amount of gallons of petrol.

[–] FloridaBoi@hexbear.net 28 points 2 hours ago (1 children)

Conservatives have been blaming Biden for the price of eggs for months and it was a talking point during the campaign. The liberals are doing the hypocrisy thing

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 11 points 1 hour ago

This is the usual hypocrisy stuff that I guess should be pointed out, but does nothing to make your side more appealing in the long term if you don't propose any actual solutions.

They should find a different yolk.

[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 26 points 2 hours ago (2 children)

Will the stock market shit the bed on Monday again? I hope so

[–] JohnBrownsBussy2@hexbear.net 16 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

Honestly, the stock market has become so disconnected from actual consumption/production that I don't think that any immediate impact will be pretty muted. What will cause a stock market collapse will be if the expanding private debt bubble from people having to rely more and more on credit to deal with inflation pops and triggers a financial collapse like '08.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 7 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

It should go down a bit because it is very connected to direct government intervention like interest rates. This might cause interest rates to go up.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 20 minutes ago* (last edited 9 minutes ago)

Short term rates are set by the Fed quite tightly so i doubt much will happen in that regard. Unless Fed says there will be inflation from tarrifs and decide to hike rates (even though it makes no sense).

And the markets have already been stagnating for the past few months anticipating Trump's tarrifs.

I hope Trump merges the Fed with the Treasury if they do hike rates. 🤞

[–] vovchik_ilich@hexbear.net 13 points 2 hours ago

You mean because of the sanctions?

[–] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 35 points 5 hours ago (2 children)

the mahdi Punxsutawney Phil will soon deliver the biggest news of the year

[–] uSSRI@hexbear.net 14 points 2 hours ago

What happens if he shits his balls?

[–] deathtoreddit@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 2 hours ago

It's groundhog day

[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 46 points 8 hours ago (2 children)

The USAID website is still down: https://www.usaid.gov/

Their Twitter account is also down: https://twitter.com/USAID?mx=1

Nerds speculate whether it's taken offline or if it's related to some DNS fuckery: https://xcancel.com/theoc2ps/status/1885803710485262743

This is an excellent opening for countries need to put lukashenko-tired Thought into practice.

[–] dkr567@hexbear.net 21 points 4 hours ago

Colour revolution tools in shambles.

[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 41 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

this US Aid cancalation is probably the most impactfull "silent" event we have witnessed in the last decade , as i understood it thats basicly the central "softpower" nexus of the US beeing taken offline .. can you hear the silent screams of a tousand compradors ?

[–] SamotsvetyVIA@hexbear.net 14 points 4 hours ago (1 children)

central "softpower" nexus of the US beeing taken offline

it means they don't need that anymore. bring out the hammer

[–] randomquery@hexbear.net 25 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (1 children)

It means it's not strong enough anymore and they need the hammer. This seems to be the direction Trump presidency. The american empire has been slowly losing its ability to exert control over other countries indirectly and now needs to do it directly. Most of the color revolutions of the last few years have failed, most of the attempts to covertly overthrow governments or push for the benefit of american capital have been unsuccessful. Even successful ones seem unable to push countries under the total influence of the USA (for example Peru is still going through with huge infrastructure projects funded by China). It seems Trump's presidency will be about trying to solidify a definite sphere of influence in more direct terms and resurrect the american industrial base.

[–] Self_Sealing_Stem_Bolt@hexbear.net 11 points 1 hour ago (1 children)

and resurrect the american industrial base.

Won't happen in any meaningful way. Crappy things, like inferior steel might come back but amerika doesn't have the educated population for precision/high end manufacturing anymore. Nvidia chips? Forget about it. Not to mention, they want to eat their cake and have it too--they won't want to pay good manufacturing wages, the golden era is long gone. At best we'll see the return of company towns and scrip/prison labour.

[–] randomquery@hexbear.net 2 points 6 minutes ago* (last edited 6 minutes ago)

I agree, I also don't think they will be able to solidify a sphere of influence. Seems to me more of a fool's errant, but it could lead to hot (and maybe nuclear) wars.

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