Over the past few days there have been a number of outcomes that have been basically the last expected thing. Prigozhin starts a coup, marches nearly unopposed to Moscow, then just... stops. The Russians blew the Kakhovka dam so the Dnipro would become even more impassible and they could withdraw their defences to redeploy elsewhere, and so the Ukrainians have crossed the Dnipro.
What's next? Even !NonCredibleDefense@lemmy.world (or !noncredibledefense@sh.itjust.works) haven't been able to keep up.