this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2023
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GenZedong
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The US is saving money by getting rid of all their old shit, and they're using it to establish a war debt that allows them to own Ukraine. They're also getting a massive die off of MAMs in Ukraine, so the country is effectively a vassal at this point. They'll keep doing this to weaken Russia and to gather more and more intelligence on Russian capabilities. The assumption being that the US needs to know what Russian capabilities are in order to beat them in a larger-scale conflict.
We should expect the US to extend the current conflicts for long after they have gathered sufficient intelligence because they need to get inside the Russian OODA loop using the Intel they're gathering. Once they have enough points of attack, they'll establish a new vector that Russia will have to react to on a cadence that will stretch the known Russian capabilities, plus an estimated margin, to the breaking point.
This may have already been attempted with some of the agitation we saw in countries neighboring Russia, in Iran, and with the Wagner event. Hopefully the US made their attempt already and failed. But it's still possible that they have not yet even begun to fight.