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Russia’s economy is now completely driven by the war in Ukraine – it cannot afford to lose, but nor can it afford to win (theconversation.com)

submitted 9 months ago by 0x815@feddit.de to c/europe@feddit.de

51 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Cross-posted from: https://feddit.de/post/9438338

Military pay, ammunition, tanks, planes, and compensation for dead and wounded soldiers, all contribute to the GDP figures. Put simply, the war against Ukraine is now the main driver of Russia’s economic growth.

And it is a war that Russia cannot afford to win. The cost of rebuilding and maintaining security in a conquered Ukraine would be too great, and an isolated Russia could at best hope to become a junior partner entirely dependent on China.

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[–] tryptaminev@feddit.de 4 points 9 months ago

but rather by weather, which meets the same condition as you describe for Ukraine.

Climate zones:

Precipitation:

Soil quality:

You are right that Russia has about a similiar sized good quality land to the east/north east of Ukraine in terms of climate,precipitation and soil quality. That would still be a huge strategic improvement, independant from development of the land. You are also right that Russia has ports at the Black Sea already. It is not about just what you have, it is also about what others wouldn't have.

We see the same thing in reverse with the NordStream pipelines. The Gas could have been continued to be transported through Ukraine and Poland just fine. But by building around them, Germany and Russia could deny a share of the cake to them, which of course they were strongly opposed to, like most other European countries and the US were too.

Most of Russia is pretty poor farm land otherwise: