this post was submitted on 15 Feb 2024
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[–] PanArab@lemmygrad.ml 33 points 9 months ago (5 children)

Japan, and Germany need to drop further. Would be nice if Russia, Indonesia and Brazil took their place.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 34 points 9 months ago (3 children)

That's pretty likely to happen in the next few years. I expect BRICS economies to continue growing while G7 ones will keep shrinking. The underlying factors driving these trends are unlikely to change.

[–] redline@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 9 months ago (2 children)

while i agree with this, which underlying factors would you say are you basing this on?

[–] acabjones@lemmygrad.ml 16 points 9 months ago

Not OP, but I think the BRICS+ are seeing continued development of productive forces (e.g. BRI; financing via the BRICS new development bank for industrial development [and not predatory credit issued for the purposes of lowering prices of export commodities thus stifling development]), while the G7 is unable to break free from neoliberal post-industrial services which have very limited real economic benefit, and in the case of Germany and presumably other west European countries, actively deinduatrializing.

I can't point to exact sources but this is Michael Hudson's bread and butter.

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