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I mean, if you live in Iowa, cold weather this time of year is the norm. I think all the 'ooh nobody showed because of dreaded coldness's', is pretty much an excuse. Even republicans are tired of this shit show, and that's why they didn't bother to drive across town to caucus. They'd drive across the state for a decent TacoPizza (tm). smh
There's cold and then there's cold. 20°F/-6°c is uncomfortable and requires proper attire. -5°F/-15°C is seriously dangerous to go out in regardless of what you're wearing.
I would say that’s still a manageable temp to go vote in, if you’re spending little time out of doors, rather going house-to-car-to-building. Any significant requirement of time spent outside, particularly idling in line; changes that.
That answer is also changed depending on the state of the ground/roads. Is there a significant amount of ice about? In neighbouring Wisconsin there is.
Also, a lot of voters, particularly conservative ones, are older, and the perils of the ice and deep cold are greater for them, and likely considered as such.
So… yeah. I can see weather dampening turnout at this quite a bit.
About 23.5" of snow has fallen between now and the previous weekend. Travel is returning to winter normal, but is definitely still difficult. Last time I participated (previous election) the line for the sign-in/registration table went outside and I had to wait ~5 min. to get inside.
Now I'm imagining some kind of Green Boots scenario where voters slowly file past one of their own who couldn't handle the cold, and whose body it is too dangerous to retrieve.