this post was submitted on 25 Oct 2023
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cross-posted from: https://mastodon.online/users/hallenbeck/statuses/111293316231491706

I've made an updated graphic based on feedback. Thanks to @nooeh@lemmy.world for the critique. Updated graphic here:

https://thelastboyscout.uk/assets/img/son_xg_stats.webp

Is Son one of the best finishers EVER? Let's look at some data. 👇

We use actual goals minus expected goals (xG) as a proxy for finishing skill. Players who consistently score more than their xG means they are scoring goals other players would miss. Generally, only the most elite goalscorers *consistently* outperform their xG.

And I can find no player who consistently beats Son. It's astonishing.

Can you find anyone better at elite level?

#COYS #THFC #PremierLeague #MastodonFC****

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[–] nooeh@lemmy.world 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

You're right, I am sorry about being hostile. I should have been more light hearted about it. I just thought that it's another hyperbolic post contriving to exxagerate how good a player is, just like a lot of Twitter posts.

However, I disagree that cherry picking data would improve your analysis. Include all the years, but weight them properly (as the overall G/xG would).

Keep up the OC. Sorry again and cheers!

[–] hallenbeck@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Do you know where I can get xG data before 2017? That's where FBref stops.

[–] nooeh@lemmy.world 2 points 1 year ago

I just googled it for Messi. I assume it's available for a smattering of top forwards.