this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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Yep. We're entering dicey waters.
Even if the coup fails, this weakens the Kremlin, and increases the likelihood of Russia descending into civil war like Libya.
But as you say, Russia has 40,000 nukes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60564123
About 6000.
No, Russia has 6000 nukes. Only 1700 are actually ready to deploy, the rest are just sitting in storage.
And given the rampant corruption that has rotted Russia's military out, I wouldn't be surprised if most of them don't even work. Nuclear weapon maintenance is a great thing to skim money out of since nobody's expecting the nukes to actually be used.
Considering all we read last year about the deplorable condition of transport vehicles, medicine supplies, soldier equipment and food that were in storage until last year - due to the money not quite making it all the way down the chain throughout the years - I think it's pretty much a given.