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They lose if they do. If they work with the moderate republicans they can get a moderate republican All democrats + 30 republicans is enough to elect a moderate speaker, while all republicans will only elect a speaker less moderate.
Why not get 6 republicans to back Jeffries?
Doing so amounts to switching their party affiliation. The GOP will totally abandon them and primary them so hard in the next election. It will entirely end their political career, and is likely to attract all manner of death threats and probably actual attempts on their lives. Republicans are super into stochastic terrorism these days.
Politics are so divisive right now anyone who works with the other party is almost inviting a more extreme primary challenger.
Actually, it's the same number as the the the motion to vacate. All the dems and 6 Republicans. Speaker election does not need aa super majority
You need 30 republicans so they have enough cover each other. You are right the minimum number is 6, but it would be stupid for the 6 republicans to follow that plan - they will just be told to switch parties even though overall they better fit republicans (or so we can assume though this may be false). 30 is in fact small, but if you find 30 who go for it you can probably get 70 more. I doubt you would get all democrats to go for this, so that is more republicans you need.