this post was submitted on 11 Jun 2023
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Most active users though are lurking voters only, or not logged in at all, and don't comment/post. When they leave, it won't be as obvious. And the more contributing users leave, the more the only ones left and talking will be the ones who don't care.
I think a lot of people are riding the sinking ship all the way down and planning to bail on the 30th, when the apps are actually banned, too. Probably enjoying the drama of it and not realizing they could be enjoying the drama of it from, like, over here on dry land instead.
But yeah. There'll be people who put up with it for now, or who join after and missed the whole controversy, or who straight up don't care at all.
I think there'll be these initial waves of people who can see the writing on the wall leaving, then after that there'll be a steady trickle of people abandoning ship over time, with spikes whenever the next outrageous thing happens, and the whole thing will collapse gradually, perhaps over years.
Although, people have been saying that since Ellen Pao and Voat... 😅
I think you're right to a point, but also, the whole fragmented fediverse thing is going to have to... at least be simplified if the "lurking voter" mainstream are going to end up here.
Me (enthusiastically):
"It's federated, so you have to choose an instance! They're all different, but they can all talk to each other! Some of them have different rules. Oh, and they can all have their own 'videos' community, so you have to decide which ones you want to follow. Also some of the instances are kbin and some are Lemmy, but most likely the website you log into won't be called either of those things. And if you don't curate your own frontpage (which doesn't even show your subs by default) you'll just see everything at once!"
Average Internet user (starting a new Facebook account because they forgot their password):
"reddit dot com has funny gifs on it"