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Russian forces degrade, any Ukrainian Armed Forces' breakthrough could be decisive - ISW
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I think the slowness makes it less likely that Ukraine will be nuked. If each Russian loss is a relatively small one then escalation to nukes keeps being an unwarranted escalation.
If you really want to watch out for it, then we might see an elevated risk when the Russian defense lines crumble and we see another rapid advance like what happened with Kharkiv.