this post was submitted on 10 Jun 2023
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Formula 1

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How many years do you think we will see? Will they dominate the entire era, similar to Mercedes did prior? Or will other teams catch up? If so, who? Curious to see how y'all think this plays out.

I personally think they are relatively untouchable until 2025. Mercedes may get closest, but RB is so far ahead that I don't see them getting legitimately challenged for quite some time.

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[–] probodyne 3 points 1 year ago

It's the same thing as with mercedes domination, and red bull domination before that. They've found a solution to the rules that works really well and they have improvements that they are finding, although they're going to hit the incremental returns wall sooner. I don't know if they're going to be properly caught by 2025, don't forget that mercedes weren't caught by 2016, which was a year before the new wider cars were introduced, you had to wait until 2021 and a chassis freeze + nerf for that to happen.

Mercedes has obviously had to go back to the drawing board and hopefully understand their car better now so should be able to get closer next year. Aston could stay in the top spots which will be good. Ferrari have way too many resources to be kept down for long, but obviously their internal culture seems to need a rework, and I wouldn't put them in a championship hunt as they are now.

We'll see what the new engine regs have in store but it's not a massive change in some ways so it might not affect much unless someone completely shits the bed.