this post was submitted on 16 Jan 2025
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We constantly rethink how modern wars will be fought. That's a given. We should not however pretend that Ukraine is the model for the next one. Some aspects of it? Sure. Russia is giving us a useful live demonstration of their EW capabilties for example.
Realistically expecting a static artillery war however is rediculous. That's the result of Ukraine not having the equipment (and needing time to train soldiers for the new equipment they got from the west). So Russia had half a year to mine the shit out of newly occupied territory while digging a million trenches. Also the result of having a tiny and old air force compared to NATO forces and no chance to get any form of air control (and yes, we have actually seen in other theaters how well air-defense bought from Russia fares in reality).
You are probably also assuming we need to learn to defend against masses of cheap drones for years to come? Well, we don't. Because there is no scenario with drones being launched against us over year as the sane reaction is a counter attack on the launch sites (again a very Ukraine-specific problem as they lacked equipment to do so, then the permission to use them deep inside Russia, and thus needed to develop stuff able to do so from scratch while at war).
Read up on the UK Ukraine deal signed today? Anything about drones in it you reacted to?