this post was submitted on 16 Sep 2024
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Image is of China's ambassador to Afghanistan, Zhao Sheng, meeting Taliban Prime Minister Hasan Akhund in September 2023.

I know the Rambo title card is a hoax.

The COTW was chosen in the wake of the aborted sequel to the attempted assassination of Trump being performed by a guy who is VERY enthusiastic about Ukraine, to the point of trying to sneak Afghan soldiers into Ukraine by setting up a house in Pakistan to house them and then further transport them. He also apparently offered to send thousands of Afghan soldiers to Haiti to help them combat gang violence. Whomst among us doesn't have the numbers of thousands of Afghan soldiers on speed-dial. Do you reckon there's a group chat?

Anyway, while there is still no official recognition of the Taliban's government by any country, China has taken a different course than the late USSR and the US - forming economic in-roads, rather than trying their own invasion. This has been a big boon for the struggling country, with various mines and oil and agriculture deals helping keep things barely afloat. A total disintegration of the social fabric of Afghanistan is not in the interest of any of the powers that border it - China, Pakistan, and Iran, with Russia not too far away - so an interesting dynamic of helping-without-official-recognition has been established. I wonder who will be the first country to fully recognize them?


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English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
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Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] puff@hexbear.net 24 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (26 children)

Controversial opinion and doomerism warning: The Axis of Resistance is losing. This communications attack by Israel is a prelude to a major Israeli offensive on Hezbollah. All three of Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran should have attacked Israel together at maximal strength late last year. Now they've waited until Hamas is contained, Israel is shifting its focus to Hezbollah (hence this preemptive barrage), while Iran will probably sit around sable-rattling, then once Hezbollah is also contained, Israel will shift its focus to Iran, and Iran will be alone. Israel dealt with having three enemies at once by relying on them not going all in against Israel together at the same time. Israel can win one-on-one battles but not all three at once. Well, it's getting its winnable one-on-one battles because the three are letting it. A major tactical shake-up is needed. They can stretch Israel thin and win decisively, but the window of opportunity to do so is closing.

[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 67 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (15 children)

This would only make sense if Israel did not have nukes. The fact that they possess them necessitates a strategy of attrition. You can disagree, but it is the very reasonable decision of the Resistance leaders to not (yet) risk their respective countries being hit by nuclear strikes. I cannot tell them from my position in the West that they should 'man up' and start destroying Israel in these circumstances.

Hamas is not "contained", it is a constant draw of Israeli resources to try and destroy them, and the tunnel network makes neutralizing or even significantly weakening Hamas extremely difficult. Even the US has repeatedly admitted this. And Hezbollah would be orders of magnitude harder to destroy than Hamas. Unless you mean that Hamas has been contained within Gaza, in which case: no shit? Where else are they meant to be?

A major terrorist attack does not suddenly un-explode Israeli military bases in the north nor return settlers to their villages nor revitalize the Israeli economy.

[–] puff@hexbear.net 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (14 children)

They don't have nukes, they have loans from the US. The demon rats need to win the election and won't let the entity use them.

Edit: this comment was extra controversial so I guess I'll elaborate. I don't believe Israel can use its nukes independently of the US, much the same as how the UK has its 'own nukes' they developed themselves but there's no feasible way to use them without US permission.

[–] Autonomarx@hexbear.net 39 points 1 month ago

What the hell are you talking about?

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