Conservative
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I am not dodging anything. You are not being clear. Can you be more clear about what is confusing you?
Yes, read Nate Silver, as you seem ignorant about the topic, which should help educate you. You seem to think Kamala is a slam dunk to win, which is not what the experts say. Right now, she doesn't have the 4% needed to win the national election.
Give his latest article a read. And then tell me again how “shes going to lose because nate silver said so”
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
I never said Nate said she would lose. What I said is she is not guaranteed to win. Her numbers don't show that. What Nate has said is that once she starts to talk about policies, she may lose her lead. He has also said she needs a 4% national advantage is win, which she doesn't have.
What are you basing your position on
Nate Silver never said that
What are you even on about. Are you just trolling?
She is already starting to drop in polls sooner than the experts expected. Trump has focused on name calling which isn't helping him. If he focused on policies, he will crush her.
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-suffers-triple-polling-blow-before-dnc-convention-1940947
Finally! You engage in a real discussion and post a source which backs up your claim
https://www.natesilver.net/p/can-kamala-harris-win-in-incumbent
Yes. The sources to back your claims up. Which I repeatedly asked for many comments ago
Can you backup your claim that incumbents share no advantage?
Thats not what I said. Here, I will copy and paste it to make it nice and easy for you
Try again.
It makes perfect sense if you understand Biden is a liability, and she would become the incumbent.
An incumbent after four years in power has an advantage.
Suddenly changing the incumbent via impeachment months before election has not been tried. It makes no sense to think it would have identical impact on the election as being in power for a full term.
It's soooo funny when people who are voting for a racist, fascist, famously loathed conman try and tell real Americans about political strategy.
Nah, we're good. 😂
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4834413-david-axelrod-democratic-strategist/
Trump is actually too stupid to comprehend what policies he’s supposed to be discussing. I like when he explained recently “a tariff is a tax on a foreign country!”. What a moron. It’s sad that the GOO came up with such a complete cretin as their candidate again.