this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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From "Four Decades of Poverty Reduction in China":

"Over the past 40 years, the number of people in China with incomes below US$1.90 per day has fallen by close to 800 million, accounting for close to three-quarters of global poverty reduction since 1980. At China’s current poverty standards, the number of poor people in China fell by 770 million. By any measure, the speed and scale of China’s poverty reduction is historically unprecedented."

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[–] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 11 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

That post is extremely unserious. They have one dubiously sourced graph and a couple of numbers thrown in with zero explanation of how they arrived at them. It's about the same level of effort as your average Reddit post.

I mean they don't even bother to define what they mean by "extreme poverty" whereas the paper that i linked does. Of course if you play definition games you can adjust the poverty line until your data says what you want it to say. They're also talking about percentages of population in poverty rather than absolute numbers.

You can go to the website of the World Bank yourself where they claim to have gotten their data from (though they never specify exactly which World Bank data set they used) and look at the charts, what they are depicting, whether they specify total numbers of people in poverty or percentage poverty rates, and how they change depending on where you set the poverty line:

https://pip.worldbank.org/home

For instance if you use a slightly higher cutoff line then suddenly the story becomes even worse without China, and the global number of people in poverty actually becomes higher rather than lower while the rates barely decline. On every chart you see one striking feature: the sharpest decline occurs in the East Asia Pacific region, most of that is of course China.

If raw population size were the only thing explaining why China has such a big impact on the statistics you would expect to see similar effects coming from India, but you don't. And this is all assuming that the World Bank is an objective and neutral source of data whose pro-capitalist ideological bias doesn't affect how they measure and define certain things.

Also, another thing to consider: a problem with just looking at the poverty rate decline is that you can have a "global poverty reduction" simply by population growth in the developed world. What you'd really need to do is exclude China and the developed countries.