this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2024
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The war in Sudan has so far been marked by a lot of incompetency and mismanagement by government forces (the SAF). After months of bitter fighting, in late 2023, the opposing Rapid Support Forces suddenly expanded their control towards the southeast of Khartoum after not a lot of resistance, most notably taking the city of Wad Madani. This led the SAF supporters and officials to panic and point fingers at each other about what the hell the army is even doing, while RSF soldiers looted the city.

These victories led to a short period in late December and early January where diplomacy and peace talks were considered, but such attempts fell apart. The leader of the RSF visited various African countries, including meeting Paul Kagame in Rwanda, to boost his legitimacy. Then, the RSF attacked into South Kordofan and consolidated their hold on other areas.

The Sudanese capital of Khartoum sits on a river which divides it from the city to its west, Omdurman (see the post image). The SAF and RSF have been fighting over this grand urban area for the whole war, with the RSF holding most of Khartoum (with an entirely cut-off SAF force holding on in the center), with a similarly cut-off SAF force also in eastern Omdurman, up against the river. For 10 months, this force has been under siege - but no longer. In perhaps the first actual W of the war for the SAF, they finally managed to break the siege a week ago, pouring supplies in. This leaves a section of the RSF now cut off, though Omdurman is still not under full SAF control (and, who knows, the whole situation could once again go badly for the SAF).

Meanwhile, the Sudanese socioeconomic situation has completely collapsed, with potentially a 20% fall in GDP and 8 million people displaced, with 2 million from Khartoum alone. 18 million Sudanese, or about a third of the population, is in acute hunger, and 20 million children are out in school. The refugees streaming out of the country are causing knock-on effects in neighorboring countries like Chad. Nobody is even really counting the dead anymore.

Red is the government forces, the SAF. Blue is the RSF opposition. Other colours are various factions.


The Country of the Week is Sudan! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 51 points 9 months ago (1 children)

If anybody wants a good source to follow what's going on in Sudan, then I've been using the Sudan War Monitor substack.

Also, I want to briefly re-state my incandescent hatred for journalists. The audacity of journalists - the people who are, hypothetically, meant to keep the population informed of what's going on - calling what's going on in Sudan the "forgotten war"... my brothers in christ, it wouldn't be forgotten if you fucking talked about it.

From that FT article:

With no let-up in the war, the stalled diplomatic process must be urgently revived. Two developments provide the tiniest crumbs of hope. Last month, Sudan’s warring factions participated in secret talks in Bahrain, a sign that even the deluded generals may realise that neither side can win. And the US, better late than never, is about to appoint a special envoy, widely trailed as Tom Perriello, a former Democratic congressman. He needs strong White House backing to be effective.

There are no good solutions to the deep-seated crisis in Sudan, which threatens to become another Somalia. The hope — if it can be called that — is that the genie of war can somehow be put back in its bottle.

"Which threatens to become another Somalia?" I am going to go insane.

A great comment from @Frank@hexbear.net a few months ago:

I would like to object to the term "random act of piracy". Somali piracy has a long history tied in to geopolitics. It's a fascinating history; After the collapse of the Somali government back in the 80s there was no coast guard or navy to police Somali waters. Foreign fishing vessels entered somali waters and essentially strip mined the fisheries, leaving the somali fishing industry devastated. At the same time foreign firms began dumping toxic waste in to Somali waters. The first pirates were semi-organized militias trying to protect Somali waters from these foreign depredations. The militias quickly realized that seizing ships and crews for ransom was a profitable way to bring in hard currency in a region where the economy was devastated.

Pirate raids by Somalis have always been incredibly dangerous, with a terrifying death rate for the raiders, but for a long time there were no other real prospects and income from ransoms provided one of the few sources of hard currency for coastal Somalia.

International forces, of course, made no attempt to aid Somalis in keeping those pirating fish and dumping waste out of Somali waters, but were quick to respond militarily to Somali piracy. Such is geopolitics.

Also, Biden re-sent hundreds of troops to Somalia when Trump withdrew them.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 51 points 8 months ago (1 children)

NSFW/L CW MURDER

hamas-base rams two Palestinian teens riding a bike. One ethno-fascist gets out and murders one of the teens point blank in the back of the head.

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[–] batsforpeace@hexbear.net 50 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

another retired Polish general going off, happens quite often actually

Poland Daily 24 - Polish General Said Deporting Ukrainians from Poland Would Help on the Frontline… But Would It Really? [06/02/2024]

General Skrzypczak proposed that the Polish government take a drastic measure to support Kyiv by deporting all Ukrainian men residing in Poland back to their homeland. He believes this action would strengthen Ukraine’s defense capabilities. “The Polish government should assist Kyiv in the deportation of Ukrainians living abroad. We need to reach out to Ukrainian citizens who are living abroad to address this issue. This initiative should be directed towards the governments in Warsaw, Paris, Prague, and wherever else they may be residing. These governments should help Kyiv in carrying out the deportations,” Skrzypczak stated during a TOK FM radio interview on January 23.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 50 points 9 months ago (4 children)

My newest discovery in the saga of George Galloway, Rishi Sunak and Sky News is a strange one.

The video Sky News posted. This one. I've just discovered through a friend that Sky News have set it to be blocked in Russia.

They don't block their other content in Russia.

Only this video.

Very strange and curious behaviour. I have no idea what they're thinking.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 49 points 9 months ago

Danish Leader Urges Military Buildup At The Expense Of Welfare

In a recent interview with oligarch-aligned newspaper Financial Times Denmark's iron-fisted supreme leader, the social democrat Mette Frederiksen, is calling for American satellite states in western Europe to increase military buildup, painting Russia as an imminent threat to the imperialist bloc, claiming that Russia will soon be able to attack a member of the American-dominated NATO pact. Russian officials has repeatedly stated that they have no such intentions.

In the interview given in the Marienborg government compound outside of Copenhagen, the supreme leader bombastically started that "the naive continent" of Europe "must not repeat the mistakes of the 1930's". She claims that western European nations within the American sphere of influence has spent too little money on military buildup over the years, instead leaving their American overlords to foot the bill.

That this is not just empty sabre rattling is demonstrated by the frenzied rearmament programme Frederiksen's regime has embarked on, raising concerns for the stability in the Baltic and Arctic regions. Numbers released by Denmark's Liberal Party-controlled ministry of defense, suggesting that the Nordic kingdom is already spending a whopping two percent of GDP on its armed forces this year, thereby fulfilling American dictates for minimum military spending.

Despite Denmark being neighboured by fellow members of the Washington-controlled NATO pact and being at no risk of an unprovoked attack, Frederiksen claims her struggling nation is in dire need of spending even more money on military posturing. In the Financial Times interview she claims that "freedom comes with a price" and that funding for social welfare must be curbed to fund the regime's grand military plans.

The supreme leader goes on to say that "if the world is changing in the direction I think it will, then you cannot spend your penny, or your dollar, or your euro, or your krone two times."

Far away from the halls of power the people of Denmark are already paying the price for their dear leader's freedom. The nation's social welfare system, once lauded as a ray of light and progress in the heart of the otherwise bleak and uncaring imperialist bloc, is buckling under the stress of decades of economic mismanagement and chronic underfunding. The people of Denmark are now looking forward to seeing their schools, hospitals and public transit system decay even further, as the regime splurges on guns and missiles.

[–] star_wraith@hexbear.net 49 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Was looking at some of the “no party affiliation” candidates in CA senate primary election. I came across a questionnaire that Laura Garza filled out for the OC Register (link). It first mentions she was “Former vice presidential candidate on Socialist Workers Party ticket in 1996”. I’m thinking hmmm… that’s sounds kinda Trot-y, but maybe not. Let’s see what her positions are. First question was about Palestine, “israel”, Ukraine, and Russia… and this was the response:

I defend Israel’s right to exist as a refuge for Jews and condemn the Jew-hating pogrom organized by Hamas with the backing of the Iranian regime. The capitalist regime in Tehran and the reactionary forces it backs in Hamas, Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad are enemies not only of Jews but of working people of all nationalities. So long as capitalism exists, in times of crisis, the rulers will turn to scapegoating Jews to smash the working class as they did in Nazi Germany. The fight for workers’ power and socialism is the only solution to end the anti-working class poison of Jew-hatred.

I stand with the people of Ukraine in their battle for independence and sovereignty over all of Ukraine and against Moscow’s reactionary invasion.

I don’t support the policies of the U.S. capitalist class and their military, which is used worldwide to defend U.S. profits and imperialist domination, not the interests of working people here or elsewhere. I am for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Korea, the Middle East and Europe. I defend the Cuban Revolution and call for an end to the U.S. embargo on Cuba, which is used to suffocate the Cuban population for their decision to reject living under Washington’s boot.

What a fascinating mix of leftist language and absolute dogshit, sprinkled with some good takes (but also ones that even normal libs support, like ending the blockade on Cuba). Honestly, her takes on “israel” sounds like what an actual neo-Nazi would come up with if they were trying to make a caricature of a leftist.

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[–] THIRD_WORLDIST@hexbear.net 49 points 9 months ago (3 children)

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/pope-francis-calls-studies-into-ugly-gender-theory-2024-03-01/

Pope Francis calls for studies into 'ugly' gender theory

I did not have pope francis coming out as against "gender ideology' on my cards for 2024

so much for the woke pope

[–] TheGamingLuddite@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I'm catholic and I swear I've been seeing this exact news cycle for a decade. The pope gets praised for saying some progressive stuff and then gets chided for doing some incredibly dumb signaling against abortion or gender theory.

I think the most important takeaway is that he's basically Pope Obama; someone who puts a nice face on a pretty bad institution that he is unwilling or believes himself unable to structurally change, and there probably won't be any structural change to it without a massive shift in the societies it exists in.

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[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 49 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (7 children)

Some of these points are things me and some few others, definitely a minority here, have been saying for months.

Yes its an opinion piece, but there are also quotes from relevant people including Vijay Prashad.

Palestinians call for China to step up pressure on Israel as they seek an end to ‘collective punishment’ on Gazans

A ceasefire and the two-state solution, which China has persevered with despite Israel’s rejection, are seen as largely unattainable by Palestinians. They want Beijing to be more precise and forceful in its support for their liberation, as they say it has become increasingly clear that the Western position does not align with theirs. While China cannot “resolve” the conflict, as a superpower and a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, it could “do more to mitigate” it, according to Razan Shawamreh, a doctoral researcher of international relations at the Eastern Mediterranean University.

“The Palestinian sense of marginalisation and vulnerability, stemming from US policies that support Israel’s crimes, have prompted them to find potential alternatives for support and solidarity, and they find it in China,” the Cyprus-based Palestinian academic said. Beijing’s reactions signified both its support as well as its policy of not interfering or meddling in other countries’ affairs. But that should not be construed as an unwillingness to facilitate negotiations in international conflicts, Shawamreh said.

In November, President Xi Jinping called for an end to the “collective punishment against the people of Gaza” with Beijing later issuing its formal position paper on the conflict, urging a comprehensive ceasefire and the establishment of a UN conference to draw up a road map for a two-state solution. “I contend that it can engage in serious bilateral discussions with both parties, extending beyond its peace proposals, given the positive regard in which both sides of the conflict hold China, in recognition of its rising influence,” Shawamreh said. Zoon Ahmed Khan, a research fellow at the Beijing-based Centre for China and Globalisation, said the capacity for China to act positively towards a resolution was enhanced by the fact “it has historically been sympathetic towards the Palestinian cause while maintaining pragmatic relations and broadened engagement with Israel”.

Then there is some explanation that the US is using the same "You're against Ukrainian Nazis then you're a Putler bot" shit but with the geopolitical equivalent of "do you condemn Hamas". This is not as important the better part is this

US politicians’ portrayal of ceasefire demands as being Chinese or Russian-led efforts to destabilise the West may have impeded the bid for Palestinian liberation, pushing it further out of reach. A more involved Global South is the answer, according to Rula Shadeed, co-director of the Palestine Institute for Public Diplomacy, which advocates for the embattled population. Shadeed said China’s clear support for Palestine would have a “very powerful effect” on the conflict, giving a boost to smaller states that may have been concerned about the consequences of doing the same.

“China has an important role, but it definitely can do much, much, much more,” she said. “The trade relationship between China and Israel has been ongoing, for example. There has not been anything that was stopped, no calls for summoning the Israeli ambassador. There was not even mentions or threats of cutting ties [as Israeli offensives continue].”

In January, state-owned China Cosco Shipping Corporation reportedly planned to stop delivering goods into Israel because of actions by Houthi militants in the waters. Chinese ambassador Cai Run was reportedly summoned by Israel’s foreign ministry over the move. Shadeed said Beijing had to shift its position away from a two-state solution, which was an “ancient stock” that had been proven to be “merely impossible” by the pervasive system of segregation that Palestinians have faced for more than seven decades.

“I think that most Palestinians don’t care about states any more – what they care about, which is rightly important, is liberation. They want the entire killing to stop, they want their economic situation to flourish, they want to have normal lives, access to health and education, and the right of movement.” Israel has maintained its “declaratory decision” to reject any recognition of Palestinian statehood. Top-ranking minister Eli Cohen said recently that peace agreements should be given up “if the price of expanding peace agreements is a Palestinian state”, reinforcing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s assertion that his country needed full security control over “the entire area in the west of Jordan”.

The average daily death toll in Palestine has exceeded that of any other major conflict of recent years, according to a January report by Oxfam. But that killing could be stopped with some practical solutions, according to Vijay Prashad, historian and director of the Tricontinental Institute for Social Research. He said permanent members of the Security Council, including China, could bring forward proposals similar to those imposed on Libya during the civil war of 2011. “To stop the bombing, China can put forward a motion for a no-fly zone over Gaza and have Egypt monitor the flights over the area,” Prashad said. “It can also propose a full arms embargo – not even dual-use technology [goods, software and technology that can be used for both civilian and military applications] should be allowed to be shipped to Israel.”

Prashad said the fact that member states were not offering such motions was “perplexing” and “part of our colonial sensibility” that the UN’s agenda could not be set by non-Western states, who were not traditionally the decision-makers. “There are moments like when the Chinese representative to the UN [Zhang Jun] stopped the Israeli ambassador from talking in a very undignified way – so it’s not like people aren’t asserting themselves, but why not assert themselves with a resolution?”

Prashad acknowledged that the proposals would likely be vetoed by the US, making Washington appear “even more complicit in the massacre than they are right now”.

The US again blocked a ceasefire resolution on Tuesday. It was the third US veto of a draft resolution since October 7. Zhang said the US vote – the only one against – was “nothing different from giving the green light to the continued slaughter” in Gaza. The veto power has become increasingly controversial as it effectively prevents UN action against the permanent members and their allies, leading to inaction on war crimes and crimes against humanity.

China and other countries could further consider recalling their ambassadors in Israel and removing Israeli diplomats in their countries in order to “put Israel on notice diplomatically”, Prashad said. They would be “straightforward” and “non-interventionist” moves to make a palpable stance against the unceasing violence.

Last week, Brazil recalled its ambassador to Israel while summoning the Israeli ambassador for a reprimand, amid tensions deepened by Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s comparison of Israel’s war on Gaza to the Holocaust.

Prashad said that among his Palestinian peers, there was “a lot of respect” for China’s infrastructure investment in the West Bank, but in response to the current Palestinian suffering, the Global South in general has been “pretty timid”.

Yes there is a lot of anti-Zionism protesting, but at the top level, as the article makes clear, there is no global stance to oppose Israel yet. Maybe when people like Prashad are out there saying China needs to do more maybe we can get a more critical stance towards China?

Just 2 simple points imo going forward:

#1 We need China to step up and actualy take an active role if we want the world to actualy get better, transactional and billateral relations will not work in a world divided by a clear anti-communist block. If China needs allies they actually need to stand up and show they'll defend these alliances beyond token gestures. Everything happening around certain BRICS countries and their relation with Palestine is also a major pain, a huge embarrassing contradiction that needs to be resolved or else China will never be global leader for any sort of leftist/communist movement.

You absolutely can't say "material conditions" on one side to justify China and Egypt/UAE/Saudi relations and then continue to have relations with these countries as they facilitate the genocide.

#2 The inherent contradictions of SCC(or just Chinese capitalism if you want) are abundantly clear in this conflict, China's hypocritical stance towards Israel is not fooling anyone in the global south actually paying attention. When you refuse to actually harm Israel even with token gestures like economic relations then you have lose credibility and people are starting to notice. People will demand real support for their cause, not just grandiose statements at the UN.

The sad part is all of this should be the common communist position, yet it is published on the South China Liberal Rag Post.

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[–] atturaya@lemmygrad.ml 49 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (5 children)

President Biden invites former President Trump to work together on a border bill while challenging congressional Republicans to “show a little spine.”

Biden is now goading Trump to support his fascist border bill. (I don't understand why Trump doesn't just accept it? they get everything they want) remember to vote though, most important election of our lifetimes, This. Is. An. Investment. In. Democracy. etc

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[–] star_wraith@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago
[–] CliffordBigRedDog@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (3 children)
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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I don't know know when von der leyen will die,

but i'm hereby copymarking "ze end of ze leyen"

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[–] Xx_Aru_xX@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (10 children)
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[–] Zrc@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

wojak-nooo

umm actually it's not a big deal, it's an old tank (but still much better than any Russian tank!) and tanks just aren't effective in modern war so it doesn't matter, also it's not even destroyed, actually it's already been repaired again and the crew definitely survived unlike in inferior Russian tanks and Russia loses 50 tanks and planes and ships per day so I don't understand why they're celebrating

[–] companero@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (4 children)
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[–] atturaya@lemmygrad.ml 47 points 9 months ago (10 children)

politics streamers all suck so much. I made the mistake of watching hasan's stream from yesterday and he said the MSNBC coverage (where they put up the suicide hotline) was good and normal. then he read out the hotline number to the stream.

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[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (3 children)

Get in, it's time for another random turboshitlib doing an article talking about Ukraine:

This time, the article is written by some wanker called "John Carlin" (I hope he has nothing to do with our beloved George Carlin) in the Argentinian version of CNN, the multimedia liberal giant "Clarín". Original article in spanish, translation by me.

No, Russia Cannot Win The War

spoiler

According to his particular reading of history, Putin considers that Ukraine “is an artificial state” that belongs to the Russian sphere.

All states are artificial, mr. liberal.

I read article after article warning that Russia could win the war in Ukraine. It surprises me. There is no way for them to win. Yes, everyone loses. As Martha Gellhorn, a writer who lived through the Spanish Civil War with her future husband Ernest Hemingway, said, “In war there is neither victory nor defeat. There is only catastrophe.”

But Russia is not going to win in Ukraine. Not even if Vladimir Putin achieved his initial objective: conquering all Ukrainian territory and imposing a puppet government in Kiev. Because in the long run that is the worst thing that could happen.

Putin wants to take ALL of Ukraine? Is this Hearts of Iron IV? I'm sorry man but I don't think Putin wants ALL of Ukraine, just the eastern and southern parts. The western regions will be handled by Poland, however.

Imagine the mess the Russians would get into. They would have to install an occupying army in a country twice the size of Germany, most of whose citizens detest them. The resistance would consist of a militia of at least 100,000 combat veterans armed by Western governments. Military orthodoxy says that in such circumstances the occupation army troops need to outnumber the partisans by a factor of 25 to 1.

Talk about having a shit starting point. His entire base for this analysis is the idea (a fact, to him) that Putin wants to take over ALL of Ukraine, something that only warmonger liberals believe in. Political, military and economic realities say otherwise, Russia will most likely cripple Ukraine and leave it to whatever western company to dismantle what remains. Also imagine thinking a "100,000 combat veterans armed by Western governments" will pose a massive threat to the Russians in the scenario, holy fuck, the already-existing, western-supplied ukrainian army is getting annihilated as we speak right now. STOP FANTASIZING ABOUT COMPLETELY ARTIFICIAL "WESTERN SUPREMACY" lmao.

In other words, Russia would have to deploy more than two million soldiers in Ukraine sine die, all of them vulnerable to death under fire every day. The wear and tear in lives and money would be permanent; the consequences for Russian internal politics, progressively more destabilizing.

Russia is in a full blown war with Ukraine and parts of NATO right now and the so-called consequences are nowhere to be seen. If anything, Putin is more popular than ever. The guy is even liquidating weak opposition leaders lol.

Let's move on to a less unlikely scenario. That an end to the war be finally negotiated in which Ukraine gives up Crimea and a good part of the territories in the southeast of the country that the Russians control today. A defeat for Ukraine? At first glance maybe yes. But consider.

Actually, the most likely scenario suddenly becomes the most unlikely lmfao.

By far most of the gigantic cost of post-war reconstruction, of cities like Mariupol that the Russian army has reduced to rubble, would have to be paid by Moscow. The Ukrainian government would be free to invest the billions that would come from friendly countries in the development of a nation whose size would be perhaps 80 percent of what it was, but whose potential is enormous. Ukrainian fertile land is abundant; young talent in new technologies, too. The Ukrainian army would be the most formidable in Europe.

He got paid to write this shit down. Mariupol is a miniscule city and it has been largely rebuilt by Russia DURING THE WAR. Whatever costs the Russians have to pay, they can pay. However Ukraine is in deep shit, and their government would not simply "invest" money from "friendly countries" in "development" with a crippled country lmao. How he thinks the postwar ukrainian army would be "the most formidable in Europe" is beyond me, that title would actually go to the Russian one because they won lol.

Europe: here is the crux of the matter. Ukrainians would only accept the cession of territory to Russia in exchange for security guarantees and a reasonable prospect of future prosperity. A negotiated solution to end the war would have to include Ukraine's accession to the European Union, the dream of its citizens and Putin's nightmare. That is why we must continue to arm Ukraine: so that, when the time comes to negotiate, Ukraine is in the best military conditions to insist that EU membership be an inalienable part of the plan.

Hell yeah let's keep sending helpless ukrainians to their death with our weapons so that they can join the EU afterwards. Actually, I don't think Putin gives a single fuck if Ukraine goes into the EU or not, he cares about NATO. On the other hand, I don't think the EU would want a war torn Ukraine into their ranks... better keep it outside and let companies like BlackRock ravage the area.

In fact, if this were the final outcome Putin would have lost the war. Their motive for the invasion on February 24, 2022 was the desire of the Ukrainian government to join the European club and free itself from the Russian yoke. Putin, let us remember, considers the collapse of the Soviet Union to be “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.” The dictator also thinks, according to his particular reading of history, that Ukraine is “an artificial state” that belongs to the Russian sphere. It is difficult for him to think of Ukraine as an independent nation, as was seen in the grotesque interview he gave a couple of weeks ago to that parody of the journalist, the American Tucker Carlson.

Putin is right, the collapse of the USSR is the greatest catastrophe in the 20th century, could be in history even.

The interview began with a half-hour diatribe in which Putin explained that Russian sovereignty over Ukraine dates back to the 9th century. (He also explained, among other nonsense, that Poland, not Germany, caused the start of World War II...) The ultra-Trumpist Carlson had arrived in Moscow convinced, like so many more idiots on the international right and left, that Putin had invaded Ukraine to prevent NATO from invading Russia. Carlson then confessed that it came as a “shock” to him to discover that it was not true; that he had done so because of Russia's “historical claims” to Ukrainian lands.

I can tell this article is directed to argentinians because he uses the term "ultra-trumpist", which is not used in the US. The origin of the "ultra-[PERSON]" comes from Clarín calling everyone who is "bad" a "ultra-kirchnerista", due to their never-ending crusade against Kirchnerism. Also he plays the "adult in the room" card by saying that "everyone in the left and right believed Putin invaded because of NATO".

What Putin didn't tell Carlson was the other reason why he can't stand the idea of ​​Ukraine opting for the European path. He fears that such a large neighboring country, with so many cultural ties to Russia, will become a dangerous example of Western prosperity and democratic freedom for its crushed people.

Pure orientalism.

There are other possible scenarios for war in Ukraine. Let it last until Putin completes his umpteenth presidential term in 2030, or beyond. Let Russian mothers rebel, and, fed up with the carnage to which Putin subjects their children, pressure for a withdrawal of troops, as happened during the failed Soviet war in Afghanistan in the 1980s. Or that there is a miracle and the Ukrainian army expels the Russian one.

Oh so Russia can't win, but neither can Ukraine.. considering their military victory is barely a "miracle".

In any case, in any imaginable or unimaginable scenario, the Russian fiasco is assured. Putin's idea was to obliterate the concept of Ukraine as a free nation and return it to its Soviet status as a submissive daughter of Mother Russia. Well no. The war has forged a nationalist sentiment never seen before in Ukraine, expressed in an infinite hatred towards the Russians.

Cool, the ukrainians embraced nazism and mr. turboliberal loves the idea.

Incidentally, far from weakening democratic Europe, a habit implanted in his brain since his days in the KGB, Putin has managed to rearm the continent and expand NATO to two more countries, Sweden and Finland. There is nothing to celebrate. Ukrainians have had to suffer a tragedy as catastrophic as it is unnecessary. But there is a prize. There is light. No one in the world - no one with half a brain - who aspires to decency and freedom will doubt from now on, and even less so after the death of the charismatic Russian opponent Alexei Navalny, that Putin and his regime represent not only the worst, but the most stupid thing in humanity.

Copium. Nobody other than six liberals care about Navalny, not even the russians themselves. On the other hand, Putin becomes more and more popular in the global south. But as always, mr. shitlib lives in a bubble called "The West".


The brain damage is real. There is another article by this man where he denies "Israel" is carrying out a genocide. I will post that one soon.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 9 months ago (9 children)

Sorry for the lack of updates today, people. My mom has gallstones and i'm taking care of her, together with my family. She will operate and after that she will be ok again.

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[–] BigBoyKarlLiebknecht@hexbear.net 46 points 9 months ago (6 children)
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[–] HelltakerHomosexual@hexbear.net 46 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Timothy snyder is a piece of fucking shit why do so many people swallow this 'authoritarianism' bullshit.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 45 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Are the libs getting ready to cut their losses on Ukraine? Less and less journalists are Slavaing their Ukrainis and near-realist pieces are being published.

I just finished reading an article from Danish government broadcaster DR titled "War expert on Ukraine's shortage of western weapons: I can't see the Ukrainians do an offensive the next 12 months" where they interviewed a guy from the military academy who has previously made outright delusional predictions about western Wunderwaffen and the like are realising that western armaments industry can't keep up with Russian, how Ukraine's hand-me-downs are a logistical nightmare, how the promised arms shipments are getting delayed and how Ukraine is lacking soldiers.

He doesn't like it though and we get wonderful quotes like "We know that Russia can shoot around 20.000 shells a day while Ukraine is around 4.000 to 7.000. So on some points the Russians have advantages".

Although more realistic than before he is still delusional and he predicts things will begin to look up for the Ukrainians once they switch to a more defensive position.

He then goes on to be mad at the Ukrainians for not conscripting those under 27, calling it a luxury position when you are in "an existential war". This line is probably going to be one of the go-to soundbits once the libs switches to blaming the Ukrainians for losing the war.

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[–] Babs@hexbear.net 45 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (9 children)

Edit: I have been corrected on something I misread earlier, thanks comrades!

[–] kleeon@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (3 children)

there isn't an animal on this whole planet dumber than a journalist

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