this post was submitted on 17 Jul 2023
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UK Politics

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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 46% (+1) | CON: 28% (-2) | LDM: 12% (+1) | REF: 4% (+1) | GRN: 3% (=) | SNP: 3% (=) Via Survation (twitter.com)
submitted 1 year ago by that_ginger_one to c/uk_politics
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Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 46% (+1) CON: 28% (-2) LDM: 12% (+1) REF: 4% (+1) GRN: 3% (=) SNP: 3% (=)

Via @Survation , On 7-9 July, Changes w/ 30 June-2 July.

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 28.0% 173
LAB ๐ŸŒน 46.0% 380
LD ๐Ÿ”ถ 12.0% 39
REFUK โžก๏ธ 4.0% 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 3.0% 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 3% 32
PC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON ๐ŸŒณ 44.7% 376 28.0% 0 242 -242 134
LAB ๐ŸŒน 33.0% 197 46.0% 256 0 +256 453
LIB ๐Ÿ”ถ 11.8% 8 12% 11 0 +11 19
Reform โžก๏ธ 2.1% 0 4% 0 0 +0 0
Green ๐ŸŒ 2.8% 1 3% 0 0 +0 1
SNP ๐ŸŽ—๏ธ 4.0% 48 2.3% 0 47 -47 1
PlaidC ๐Ÿ’ฎ 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
Other โฌœ๏ธ 1.1% 0 4.2% 22 0 +22 22*
N.Ire โฌœ๏ธ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

*Believe this is mostly SNP for new seats in Scotland but EC had a bit of a brain fart because they have no official candidates yet do defaulted to 'Other'.

Scotland EC Break-Down

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
14% 24% 10% 0% 0% 24%

PrincipleFish

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