this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 68 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (6 children)

NSFL From a Journalist in Gaza NSFL

It's only text report but NSFL some of the most depraved evil Zionazi shit you'll ever read. CW Death, mass murder of children...

NSFL

A mother from #Jabalia says:

“They took all the children from their mothers and put them inside what resembled a pit or a hole. The tank came to circle around them repeatedly until their bones cracked under the pressure of dust and sand, amidst the screams of children and the wailing of mothers.

“After that, the soldiers came and started throwing the children towards the mothers, and whoever caught a child was ordered to carry him and move away quickly, with no guarantee that the child would be their own. “Many mothers carried children who were not their own, and were forced to leave with them, leaving their own children in the hands of other mothers.

This marked the beginning of a new chapter of suffering, with mothers searching for their children in the arms of other women, trying to calm the children they held until they found their real mothers.“


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[–] Babs@hexbear.net 68 points 4 weeks ago (10 children)

Burger national election news is scary and depressing. Got anything fun happening in your local or state elections?

Portland Oregon is choosing a new mayor and oh boy. Our choices this round include the lady with 150 unpaid parking tickets, who really probably shouldn't be driving at this point, or we have the guy who falsely accused someone of assaulting him on the train, (there are cameras) who also used public funds to spiff up his wikipedia page and of course hates the homeless.

Or we got Keith, the guy who doesn't seem to hate homeless people, provided they stay at an overnight shelter (he's on the record as being against the 24-hour shelters with onsite case management). Or Liv, maybe better known as the stripper Viva Las Vegas, who seems to be running on a platform of...make Portland good and artsy again? Somehow? (The solution is lower rents).

There is also Mingus. Idk what Mingus has been up to. He's already in the city government, probably coasting on being mediocre and not attracting controversy idk. I think he might be our water guy? Idk the city government is split really weird here. Anyways, not spicy enough to win, or get any real juicy news articles. Has a cool name though. Mingus Ulysses Mapps. Yeah that shit is tight.

You guys got anything fun going on?

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 68 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (6 children)

Strongly recommend looking at the before/after satellite pictures of Valencia right now. It is has been fucking destroyed.

One year of rain fell in 8 hours.

https://www.elindependiente.com/espana/2024/10/31/valencia-desde-el-satelite-antes-y-despues-de-la-dana/





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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 67 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (3 children)

i feel like iran is cheating or something , like in a PC game you would not even get a choice to show this much restrainted , if somebody bombs your soil or embassy or honored guest for presidential inaguration..

It would just be a Pop up window with "So theres war now" ...

Anyway .. Israel will now apperently strike Iran again because of the 2 Palmtrees that got damaged on nethanyaus Residence or something

what-the-hell

Edit: wtf is that even suppose to mean ..

"The strength and ability, the initiative and will of the Iranian people and the awareness of the officials in obedience to the leadership will destroy the miscalculation of the Zionist regime."

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[–] Zascoco@hexbear.net 67 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

https://eadaily.com/en/news/2024/10/31/american-drone-supplier-on-ukraine-faced-problems-due-to-chinese-sanctions

American drone supplier on Ukraine faced problems due to Chinese sanctions

"China's retaliatory sanctions against the United States led to the fact that the American manufacturer of unmanned aerial vehicles Skydio, which supplies drones to Ukraine, faced a shortage of essential components that it had previously received from China. This was reported by TASS with reference to the Financial Times (FT) newspaper."

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 67 points 3 weeks ago (6 children)

The US election really is wild. Going off polling data it looks like Kamala wins with a close electoral victory if the Dems over perform again like they did for the midterms. If it goes exactly like the polls then Trump wins with a healthy lead.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 67 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (5 children)

I heard an interesting take on the USA elections and the Democrats today. Of course Trump is rejected by many people, but his popularity and the way he manages to really draw a crowd are remarkable. No Democratic politician today can do that, I think the last one who really did it was Obama during the 2008 elections (which in four years' time will be 20 years ago). The Democrats simply can't draw a crowd like Trump because their candidates have no charisma and no real proposals for the people, all they do is “We're not Trump, we'll protect democracy”.

Now, compare any Kamala/Biden speech (except the MINI SODA speech) with Trump's rallies, of course Trump says a lot of nonsense and garbage, but he knows how to get the crowd going. Meanwhile, the Democrats are all boring and no energy. It seems that their voters are hostage to the Democrats because they fear that if they don't vote for the Democrats, they will lose all their rights and that at least the Democrats will slow down the decline of freedom a little.

I've seen some comparisons between democrats and socdems/leftists in Latin America. Lula da Silva, who is the same age as Trump, is always energetic, the crowd is always cheering and talking, he's there making jokes, comments about soccer, using language and slang that most people will understand, making proposals that actual affect people in a positive way. Compare Lula's rallies with Bolsonaro's. All Bolsonaro does is cry about the fact that the "evil" Supreme Court judge Moraes won't let him do livestreaming anymore (even his supporters are bored of this shit). And Lula is a cancer survivor who literally has a broken hip bone. The same goes for Nicolas Maduro, he's always dancing, making long speeches, bringing cool guests, he knows what his people want to hear, when people say Maduro is like the left-wing Trump, they're not lying, his rallies are very energetic. The same goes for Petro, José Mujica and even the Kirchners in Argentina.

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 66 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (7 children)

I didn't see it, but I would argue this classifies as news: in a bittersweet success against blatant and enormous prosecutorial overreach, Atlanta rapper Young Thug accepted a plea deal wherein his five year prison sentence will be commuter to time served and he will remain on probation for 15 years (!!!). He had to admit his label YSL was a gang (bullshit but whatever), has to stay out of Atlanta for the entirety of his parole, will submit to random drug tests, and can't be in contact with any other YSL label membera besides Gunna, but won't be required to testify against any other YSL members,and will be allowed to collaborate with Gunna. The RICK case was the longest trial in the history of Georgia and was basically the IRL version of that Key & Peele skit about the cops trying to use a rappers songs as a confession. I hope Fani Willis never sees higher office.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/31/arts/music/young-thug-guilty-plea-ysl-young-slime-life-trial.html

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 66 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 66 points 3 weeks ago
[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 66 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)
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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 65 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)
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[–] PostingInternational@lemmygrad.ml 65 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)

The subject of "unknown" old museum piece Soviet drone carrying unexploded ordnance, striking the capital city of Croatia (small ex-Yugoslav republic, now a NATO member), Zagreb, in March 2022 was again reignited, because a visiting NATO general said Russia definitely didn't launch that drone.

Ukraine keeps denying they launched it, even though literally everyone knows they absolutely did. The very EU/US bootlicking, center-right Croatian government is still trying to cover up the whole incident.

Funnily enough, the ancient Soviet drone a flew a few minutes over Romania, then 40 minutes over Hungary, and another 7 minutes over Croatia...all NATO member countries, without anyone doing anything about it. Hungarians not even bothering to let anyone know about it.

Natopedia link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Zagreb_Tu-141_crash

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[–] fever@hexbear.net 64 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

I'm too lazy to post the articles and their translation but you should know from Khamenei to top generals and commanders have been saying for a about week now that Iran is going retaliate against Israel. They say it will be much worse and the Resistance will participate in it.

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[–] bbnh69420@hexbear.net 64 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (5 children)

Hamas tunnels are child’s play compared to the Hezbollah complexes, my god https://streamable.com/qgksec

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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 64 points 1 month ago (15 children)

Why are Chinese delivery drivers having meltdowns? by SCMP Deep Dive

Looks like China’s delivery gig industry is reaching its breaking point, in what we call 内卷 (or involution). The means of exploitation is not so different from what I’ve heard about Uber and Lyft drivers have to endure in the US.

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 64 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Inter-imperialist rivalry time:
https://xcancel.com/african_stream/status/1851176429121142976

However, the US Africa Command head, Michael Langley, sent a letter to US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin stating Benin may be working to strengthen its military relationship with France, especially in the border zone near Burkina Faso and Niger. The French ambassador to Benin replied that the United States had no right to comment on French bases in Benin.

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[–] companero@hexbear.net 64 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (9 children)

ISW: Hezbollah’s Military Forces Are Failing in Lebanon

In case you weren't already convinced that ISW is a full-blown propaganda outlet.

The operation has so far successfully destroyed and disrupted many of the capabilities required for Hezbollah to threaten northern Israel

Aren't they still regularly launching rockets?

Hezbollah is attempting to present itself as a competent, confident military organization, but it has so far failed to effectively execute any major military campaign at scale

???

Hezbollah has also routinely claimed it “hits” Merkava tanks with anti-tank missiles but has yet to publish any evidence indicating that these “hits” knocked tanks out of action or slowed Israeli operations.[17] Hezbollah would presumably publish evidence of destroyed vehicles, given that it has a vested interest in portraying its “defensive” operations as effective.

Ukraine brain.

Criticisms directed at the IDF’s slow pace of operations ignore Israeli operational design and lessons learned in the Gaza Strip. Some Lebanese officials implied that the Israeli operation is failing because IDF forces have not penetrated deep into Lebanon.[18] The IDF’s slow movement is a deliberate choice designed to root out and destroy Hezbollah tunnel infrastructure methodically. This approach was presumably derived from a lesson learned in the Gaza Strip, where after a relatively rapid armored assault, the IDF slowed its pace of operations and began methodically reentering areas and ripping out subterranean and above-ground infrastructure.[19]

biaoqing-copium biaoqing-copium biaoqing-copium

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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 64 points 3 weeks ago (16 children)
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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 64 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (12 children)

Fed accounts are bubbling. Rumours of an iranian counter strike.

Earlier today, rumours that ballistic missiles were being transported in Iran.

This evening, rumours that a large scale UAV attack with "hundreds" of UAVs is to be launched from Iraq.

Take with pinch of salt but something might happen.


In other rumour mill news, Ukraine claims they've killed 7 DPRK troops and captured one in the Kursk region.

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 64 points 4 weeks ago (4 children)

https://xcancel.com/RealPeltierHQ/status/1851348146955366410

LEONARD PELTIER HAS BEEN HOSPITALIZED

Monday October 28, 2024 Leonard Peltier was hospitalized. It is imperative that Leonard Peltier receive an emergency medical transfer to a facility such as FMC Rochester.

Leonard’s attorneys have submitted an urgent medical transfer request based upon the medical analysis of the independent medical physician who visits Leonard regularly at USP Coleman I. His attorneys have also repeatedly warned the U.S. Federal Bureau of Prisons (BOP) of the very risks which caused Leonard’s hospitalization, but have been ignored. As USP Coleman I can not appropriately address Leonard’s medical needs, Leonard should be transferred to a medical facility equipped to meet his medical needs. A medical transfer to FMC Rochester not only ensures adequate medical care, but proximity to Leonard’s homelands and family, which is consistent with BOP policy.

Enough is enough. Mere apologies are insufficient. On World Political Prisoner Day, tomorrow, Wednesday, October 30th, the Committee encourage Leonard’s supporters and all justice loving people to contact Senators Jon Ossoff and Amy Klobuchar, who serve on the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, and demand that Leonard Peltier receive an urgent medical transfer. If your senator is on the Judiciary Committee please contact them. A full list can be found at freeleonardpeltiernow.org on the Donate/Act Now page. Act now.

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 64 points 4 weeks ago (4 children)

European Hedgehog In Decline: Now "Near Threatened"

The European hedgehog is officially classified as "Near Threatened" by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), signaling a serious risk of extinction without immediate conservation efforts. Research shows a decline of over 30% in hedgehog populations across multiple European countries over the past decade.

Read more...

Sophie Lund Rasmussen, a prominent hedgehog researcher and author of the assessment report, highlights that the hedgehog's status reflects an urgent need for action. "In my view, it’s extremely sad and deeply concerning that even such a beloved and popular animal as the hedgehog is disappearing from nature. This is a species that people truly want to protect, which tells us something about the general state of nature," she stated.

The decline is attributed to various human-induced threats, including traffic fatalities — accounting for up to a third of hedgehog deaths annually — intensified agriculture, urban development, and the dangers posed by robotic lawnmowers. Furthermore, 90% of examined Danish hedgehogs contained pesticide residues.

Rasmussen emphasizes the importance of making gardens more hedgehog-friendly to improve their survival chances.

The "Near Threatened" classification is seen as a conservative estimate due to incomplete data from some countries, with existing data suggesting that the actual situation may be even more dire.

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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 64 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 64 points 3 weeks ago (5 children)

I think that if Kamala wins, the Republican she will take into her government will be Liz Cheney.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 63 points 3 weeks ago (17 children)

DPRK published footage of the launch of a new ICBM model called the “Hwasong-19”

https://tankie.tube/w/8zrvst6VVXhwuDfQqc3f1F

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 63 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (18 children)

Wow. Amber is even more a piece of shit than I thought: Amber A’Lee Frost: Vulgarity and the Dirtbag Left | Doomscroll

Transphobic, ageist, ableist (already knew this one), liberal/reactionary/climate-denial (thinks the Black Panthers were stupid/ineffective, shits on mutual aid, thinks anarchists are just propertarians, mostly shits on anti-imperialism, and her stance on revolution is that you should shut up and accept another New Deal (laughs)), etc. Like, people have memed about her a lot, but I'm not sure how much folks realize how actually bad she is when she gets the full spotlight.

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[–] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 63 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (5 children)

New video twitter link, xcancel link appeared of Iran's ballistic missile retaliatory strike during Operation True Promise II.

While the stereotypical American commentary is both annoying and entertaining, the interesting part of the video is the trajectory of the first wave of missiles. You can clearly see them perform their "pull up" manoeuvre, then glide along at relatively low altitude, before performing their final terminal dive towards the target. These are likely Kheibar Shekan or Fattah-1 Manoeuvrable Re-entry Vehicle (MaRVs) performing their flight manouvers. I'll post a graphic below, and a research paper on this, if you want to dig in further with regards to this topic. This appears to have the defeated the Arrow 3 ballistic missile defence system, which is designed to intercept ballistic missiles outside of the earth's atmosphere, well before this point.

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[–] miz@hexbear.net 63 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

what you leftists don't seem to realize is that this is The Most Cringe Election of Our Lives

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 63 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (7 children)

Biden suggests Trump supporters are ‘garbage’ after comic’s insult of Puerto Rico

In a call organized by the Hispanic advocacy group Voto Latino, Biden on Tuesday responded to a comic at Trump’s rally who called Puerto Rico a “floating island of garbage.” Biden’s initial comments were garbled.

“Just the other day, a speaker at his rally called Puerto Rico a floating island of garbage. Well, let me tell you something, I don’t, I don’t know the Puerto Rican that I know, the Puerto Rico where I’m fr -- in my home state of Delaware. They’re good, decent honorable people,” he said.

The president then added: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.* His demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American. It’s totally contrary to everything we’ve done, everything we’ve been.”

Dark Brandon Rises biden-harbinger

White House spokesman Andrew Bates said Biden “referred to the hateful rhetoric at the Madison Square Garden rally as ‘garbage.’” In referring to Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” however, Biden’s tone was at odds with the message that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris is seeking to present as she aims to cast a broad appeal, including to disaffected Republicans. Shortly after Biden’s comments, Harris spoke from the Ellipse in Washington, vowing to be a president who would unite the country.

“I pledge to be a president for all Americans,” said Harris, who is Biden’s vice president.

"Muh Unity", fucking spineless democrats no wonder they are going to lose. #WriteinBiden

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[–] miz@hexbear.net 63 points 3 weeks ago
[–] cosecantphi@hexbear.net 62 points 3 weeks ago (8 children)

Pardon my ignorance, but how exactly does Lebanon's military work? I just can't understand how a country's own national military can just sit things out while another country invades with the intent of genocide. How is it all up to Hezbollah when Israel is literally detonating entire villages?

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[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 62 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 62 points 1 month ago (11 children)

is this some hidden cia caucus inside dsa? The fuck north star stands for

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[–] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 62 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

In a completely unexpected turn of events, the fascists are fighting among themselves...

Former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon has called on the leaders of the military and Shin Bet security service to join forces with Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara and declare that Netanyahu is unfit to serve

https://nitter.poast.org/haaretzcom/status/1852081861209522292

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