this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2023
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[–] Shdwdrgn@mander.xyz 4 points 1 year ago (3 children)

How are they making predictions five days in advance when all the public info I've been able to obtain from NWS only goes out three days and is usually not very accurate?

[–] paperclipgroove@kbin.social 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I'm also skeptical.

That article is dated yesterday as well, so an even earlier prediction.

I've checked https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/forecast-discussion and it looks to be saying it should remain relatively quiet into mid next week.

Maybe there will be something - but my usual sources are currently all pointing to "meh"

[–] Shdwdrgn@mander.xyz 1 points 1 year ago

Reality also seems to be pointing to "meh". The current forecast shows a very slight rise in about 24 hours when the Kp index might get up to around 4. I don't think that's enough to make visible auroras even from Southern Canada, let alone reaching down into the US.

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