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You could also argue, if Biden loses it will be because of his uncritical support for Israeli war crimes.
Nobody is forcing Biden to alienate his base.
And, although I personally don't believe Joe is supporting genocide, it's not very realistic to expect people to vote for someone who (in their mind) is supporting genocide.
Has biden truly been uncritical? Don't get wrong, I don't think he's done enough but to say he's bene uncritical seems inaccurate.
I don't think he has been, but that's the perception among his base.
And having his base become apathetic is not gonna help him.
Trump is still managing to keep his own base energized, so they will definitely show up.
The independents and moderates have mostly decided they don't want Trump, so Biden has them in the pocket, unless he really screws up the economy or does something else crazy.
Motivating the left flank to actually show up, that's going to be his main challenge.
Do we know if he won last time due to the left flank?
That's not how elections work.
He needs every subset of his coalition to win. Both moderates, progressives and independents. He can't afford to alienate any of these groups.
The left flank will not vote for Trump, but they might stay home or vote third party.
That's simply not true I don't think. Especially considering how unpopular trump is with everyone who isn't aTrumper.
It also doesnt answer my question. We shoulf have numbers to justify your position here.