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The original was posted on /r/singularity by /u/elphamale on 2024-01-22 10:18:46+00:00.
When I worked a government job back in 2012 I was often saying to my 'colleagues' that they could be replaced by Excel script in a few years. Yeah I knew some things about AI back then but it wasn't much back then.
Then as I worked as a lawyer in a bank in 2016 I was telling to my colleagues to get to look at other specializations. As the law in my country is highly formulaic, simple algorithms could do what they do (file a lot of similar lawsuits against debtors). And in the 2016 or 2017 there was that rumor that some lawyer somewhere in the US used an algorithm to file complaints against speeding tickets or something.
Then I was working in a fintech firm in 2019 some previous versions of GPT was writing a lot of cool things and I was telling to my colleagues that we, humans, will become obsolete in few decades. Back then I still believed that building such AIs is mostly a hardware problem.
Now I work at a bank again. I've seen and used ChatGPT a lot to know it's limitations. And I sometimes use it to rewrite/rephrase/expand certain things. But I still hope and wait for a model trained on current law of my country. I don't know of any startup that does this here or I would have tried for a position in it LOL.
When the LegaleseGPT will come, most of the lawyer jobs will be fucked. But there will still be a job for lawyers in jurisdictions where a lawyer role is a ceremonial one - e.g. in my country any lawsuit or other opening motion must be filed by a bar-admitted lawyer.
ADD: I see several of 'lawyers are safe' and 'Constitution doesn't allow it'. Please consider that there are different jurisdictions than the US in which law, as a profession, is done quite differently, even if it requires the same mental acumen. And please don't think that 'glorified autocomplete' can't be taught to 'abuse loopholes' - it can and it will be.